Memphis

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.7%Memphis

95.3%UConn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -20.0

PROJECTED TOTAL148.3

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -2028

UConn

34-5

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMemphis 64

Projected Total148.3

Projected ScoreUConn 84

Team Comparison

MemphisMetricUConn

47.8MMH Power Index70.2

104.6Offensive Efficiency116.3

106.5Defensive Efficiency98.4

-1.9Net Efficiency17.9

4.4Strength of Schedule6.3

-11.1Last 10 Net Efficiency9.4

71.9Tempo66.2

48.7%Effective FG%55.0%

18.9%Turnover Rate16.4%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %35.4%

35.1%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-1.4Average Margin11.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UConn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUConn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.2–47.8), offensive efficiency (116.3–104.6), defensive efficiency (98.4–106.5), net efficiency (17.9–-1.9).

Memphis COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (35.1–30.7).

Final

Memphis

99—97

UConn

Memphis by 2 • 74.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MemphisTEAM STATUConn

29-53FG32-65

55.0%FG%49.0%

12-223PT14-30

55.0%3PT%47.0%

29-40FT19-24

73.0%FT%79.0%

30Rebounds33

9Offensive Rebounds14

13Assists22

13Turnovers10

2Steals3

2Blocks3

21Fouls31

Player Box Score

Memphis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyrese Hunter	Guard	40	8-13	7-10	3-5	1	2	1	0	26
P.J. Haggerty	G	37	5-14	1-4	11-14	3	5	1	0	22
Colby Rogers	Guard	39	5-9	3-6	6-9	2	1	0	0	19
Dain Dainja	Forward	22	7-10	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	0	14
PJ Carter	G	18	1-2	1-2	6-6	3	0	0	0	9
Moussa Cisse	Center	28	1-2	0-0	3-6	8	2	0	2	5
Nick Jourdain	Forward	24	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
Baraka Okojie	G	17	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	28	10-13	0-0	2-2	11	2	0	3	22
Alex Karaban	F	43	6-13	4-8	3-3	4	6	0	0	19
Jaylin Stewart	F	16	7-9	2-3	0-1	5	0	0	0	16
Hassan Diarra	Guard	29	1-6	1-4	9-10	6	4	1	0	12
Liam McNeeley	Forward	31	3-9	2-4	2-4	4	4	1	0	10
Solo Ball	G	23	3-6	3-6	1-2	0	1	0	0	10
Aidan Mahaney	G	24	2-7	2-4	0-0	2	2	0	0	6
Samson Johnson	Center	14	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	1	1	0	2
Jayden Ross	F	16	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Youssouf Singare	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.2Possessions74.2

133.4Offensive Efficiency130.7

130.7Defensive Efficiency133.4

2.7Net Efficiency-2.7

66.0%Effective FG%60.0%

68.8%True Shooting %63.5%

17.1%Turnover Rate13.8%

75.5%Free Throw Rate36.9%

41.5%3-Point Rate46.2%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.20

Game Summary

Memphis won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 74.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.