Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.2%Providence

90.8%UConn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -16.2

PROJECTED TOTAL158.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -987

UConn

34-5

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 71

Projected Total158.8

Projected ScoreUConn 88

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricUConn

54.2MMH Power Index70.2

115.0Offensive Efficiency116.3

113.2Defensive Efficiency98.4

1.8Net Efficiency17.9

4.0Strength of Schedule6.3

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency9.4

74.2Tempo66.2

55.0%Effective FG%55.0%

16.7%Turnover Rate16.4%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %35.4%

37.3%Free Throw Rate30.7%

1.3Average Margin11.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UConn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUConn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.2–54.2), offensive efficiency (116.3–115.0), defensive efficiency (98.4–113.2), net efficiency (17.9–1.8).

Providence COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (37.3–30.7).

Final

Providence

65—74

UConn

UConn by 9 • 68.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATUConn

24-58FG22-55

41.4%FG%40.0%

4-183PT4-23

22.2%3PT%17.4%

13-26FT26-36

50.0%FT%72.2%

36Rebounds43

13Offensive Rebounds15

9Assists7

11Turnovers11

5Steals4

3Blocks5

28Fouls18

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Carter	Guard	38	6-18	1-4	7-11	9	4	0	0	20
Josh Oduro	Forward	23	8-14	1-3	3-6	9	2	1	1	20
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	32	3-5	1-1	0-1	8	0	2	0	7
Ticket Gaines	Guard	39	2-8	0-4	2-5	4	0	1	0	6
Jayden Pierre	G	26	2-7	0-3	1-2	1	3	0	1	5
Rafael Castro	F	7	2-2	0-0	0-1	3	0	0	0	4
Rich Barron	F	19	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Garwey Dual	G	16	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	1	0

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Stephon Castle	Guard	31	7-14	2-4	4-7	5	1	1	0	20
Tristen Newton	Guard	38	3-9	0-3	10-16	11	3	0	1	16
Cam Spencer	Guard	39	3-12	1-8	8-8	7	1	0	1	15
Alex Karaban	F	34	4-9	1-5	3-3	4	0	0	1	12
Donovan Clingan	Center	15	3-5	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	1	7
Samson Johnson	Center	19	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	1	2
Jaylin Stewart	F	6	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Hassan Diarra	Guard	16	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	2	0	0
Solo Ball	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.3Possessions68.3

95.2Offensive Efficiency108.3

108.3Defensive Efficiency95.2

-13.2Net Efficiency13.2

44.8%Effective FG%43.6%

46.2%True Shooting %51.3%

16.1%Turnover Rate16.2%

44.8%Free Throw Rate65.5%

31.0%3-Point Rate41.8%

0.82Assist / Turnover0.64

Game Summary

UConn won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 68.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.