Baylor

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.3%Baylor

57.7%UCF

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCF -2.5

PROJECTED TOTAL162.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUCF -136

UCF

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBaylor 80

Projected Total162.4

Projected ScoreUCF 82

Team Comparison

BaylorMetricUCF

58.9MMH Power Index57.1

116.7Offensive Efficiency113.3

109.5Defensive Efficiency110.0

7.2Net Efficiency3.3

4.0Strength of Schedule6.6

-2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.8

69.7Tempo71.2

54.4%Effective FG%53.0%

16.4%Turnover Rate16.0%

37.5%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

34.8%Free Throw Rate31.1%

5.1Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Baylor HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBaylor holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.9–57.1), offensive efficiency (116.7–113.3), defensive efficiency (109.5–110.0), net efficiency (7.2–3.3).

UCF COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.6–4.0), ball security (16.0–16.4).

Final

Baylor

77—69

UCF

Baylor by 8 • 62.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BaylorTEAM STATUCF

24-51FG27-50

47.1%FG%54.0%

9-203PT14-27

45.0%3PT%51.9%

20-25FT1-7

80.0%FT%14.3%

26Rebounds29

8Offensive Rebounds8

19Assists17

9Turnovers16

8Steals6

3Blocks3

12Fouls19

Player Box Score

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Langston Love	G	28	6-11	5-7	7-7	7	1	0	0	24
Jalen Bridges	Forward	31	4-9	2-5	2-2	6	5	0	0	12
RayJ Dennis	Guard	35	3-9	1-4	4-7	1	8	3	0	11
Yves Missi	Center	25	5-8	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	2	11
Ja'Kobe Walter	Guard	31	1-4	1-2	5-6	2	1	3	0	8
Josh Ojianwuna	F	14	4-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	8
Jayden Nunn	Guard	24	1-3	0-1	1-2	4	4	1	1	3
Caleb Lohner	Forward	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Miro Little	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darius Johnson	Guard	36	9-12	5-7	0-2	7	10	2	0	23
Marchelus Avery	Forward	23	6-12	4-8	0-1	4	0	1	0	16
Jaylin Sellers	G	39	5-14	4-9	0-0	2	4	0	0	14
Ibrahima Diallo	Forward	29	4-7	0-0	0-1	5	0	0	0	8
Antwann Jones	G	23	2-3	1-2	1-2	3	3	1	1	6
Omar Payne	Forward	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Thierno Sylla	C	23	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	2	0
Nils Machowski	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-1	1	0	2	0	0
Tyler Hendricks	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
DeMarr Langford Jr.	Not Available	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Mintautas Mockus	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.6Possessions62.6

123.0Offensive Efficiency110.2

110.2Defensive Efficiency123.0

12.8Net Efficiency-12.8

55.9%Effective FG%68.0%

61.2%True Shooting %64.7%

14.1%Turnover Rate26.1%

49.0%Free Throw Rate14.0%

39.2%3-Point Rate54.0%

2.11Assist / Turnover1.06

Game Summary

Baylor won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 62.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.