Boise State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.3%Boise State

72.7%New Mexico

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico -8.2

PROJECTED TOTAL154.3

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico -266

New Mexico

26-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 73

Projected Total154.3

Projected ScoreNew Mexico 81

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricNew Mexico

59.5MMH Power Index63.7

113.9Offensive Efficiency114.8

107.1Defensive Efficiency100.2

6.8Net Efficiency14.6

4.2Strength of Schedule2.0

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency8.3

68.6Tempo70.7

52.7%Effective FG%53.7%

17.0%Turnover Rate14.8%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

42.7%Free Throw Rate36.5%

4.7Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.7–59.5), offensive efficiency (114.8–113.9), defensive efficiency (100.2–107.1), net efficiency (14.6–6.8).

Boise State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (4.2–2.0), offensive rebounding (33.8–30.5), free throw rate (42.7–36.5).

Final

Boise State

86—78

New Mexico

Boise State by 8 • 71.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boise StateTEAM STATNew Mexico

32-66FG27-66

48.5%FG%40.9%

9-273PT7-25

33.3%3PT%28.0%

13-17FT17-19

76.5%FT%89.5%

41Rebounds33

13Offensive Rebounds11

14Assists9

11Turnovers7

7Steals4

6Blocks6

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Rice	Guard	38	12-20	7-14	4-4	5	1	2	0	35
Chibuzo Agbo	Guard	35	6-14	2-7	2-3	7	3	0	2	16
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	35	6-11	0-1	0-0	14	3	1	2	12
Jace Whiting	G	19	2-2	0-0	3-4	2	1	1	0	7
Roddie Anderson	G	21	2-6	0-1	2-3	1	1	2	2	6
Cam Martin	Forward	14	3-4	0-0	0-1	3	2	0	0	6
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	31	1-8	0-3	2-2	7	3	1	0	4
Andrew Meadow	F	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

New Mexico

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Dent	G	36	12-18	1-2	6-7	1	2	1	0	31
Jamal Mashburn Jr.	Guard	34	6-15	2-7	0-0	0	2	0	0	14
Jaelen House	Guard	28	2-15	1-8	7-7	7	3	1	0	12
JT Toppin	F	32	3-7	2-2	0-0	15	0	2	4	8
Mustapha Amzil	Forward	21	2-4	0-2	2-3	4	0	0	0	6
Nelly Junior Joseph	Center	27	1-2	0-0	2-2	4	2	0	2	4
Jemarl Baker Jr.	Guard	13	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Tru Washington	G	9	0-4	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.6Possessions71.6

120.1Offensive Efficiency108.9

108.9Defensive Efficiency120.1

11.2Net Efficiency-11.2

55.3%Effective FG%46.2%

58.0%True Shooting %52.0%

15.3%Turnover Rate9.9%

25.8%Free Throw Rate28.8%

40.9%3-Point Rate37.9%

1.27Assist / Turnover1.29

Game Summary

Boise State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 71.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.