California

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.2%California

95.8%Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArizona -20.8

PROJECTED TOTAL156.3

MODEL MONEYLINEArizona -2281

Arizona

36-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia 68

Projected Total156.3

Projected ScoreArizona 89

Team Comparison

CaliforniaMetricArizona

56.5MMH Power Index79.9

111.8Offensive Efficiency120.3

104.8Defensive Efficiency96.9

7.0Net Efficiency23.4

2.8Strength of Schedule8.0

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency17.0

69.9Tempo71.6

52.6%Effective FG%55.0%

14.9%Turnover Rate15.1%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %37.8%

36.8%Free Throw Rate45.3%

4.9Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arizona HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (79.9–56.5), offensive efficiency (120.3–111.8), defensive efficiency (96.9–104.8), net efficiency (23.4–7.0).

California COUNTERS WITHball security (14.9–15.1).

Final

California

65—91

Arizona

Arizona by 26 • 78.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CaliforniaTEAM STATArizona

26-70FG33-65

37.1%FG%50.8%

7-283PT7-24

25.0%3PT%29.2%

6-9FT18-30

66.7%FT%60.0%

32Rebounds51

7Offensive Rebounds14

10Assists21

12Turnovers12

8Steals5

3Blocks3

20Fouls12

Player Box Score

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Celestine	G	21	5-10	3-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	13
Rodney Brown	G	18	5-10	2-6	0-0	0	1	0	0	12
Jaylon Tyson	Forward	30	5-14	0-1	0-1	10	4	1	0	10
Fardaws Aimaq	Forward	28	3-9	1-4	3-4	5	0	1	3	10
Keonte Kennedy	Guard	30	3-13	0-5	0-0	4	2	3	0	6
Jalen Cone	Guard	30	2-8	1-6	0-0	0	3	0	0	5
Grant Newell	F	22	1-3	0-1	1-2	0	0	1	0	3
Gus Larson	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	2	0	2
Wrenn Robinson	Guard	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jack McCloskey	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Devin Curtis	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Monty Bowser	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Oumar Ballo	Center	22	8-8	0-0	6-11	13	0	1	1	22
Keshad Johnson	Forward	27	6-13	2-4	1-3	5	2	0	0	15
KJ Lewis	G	16	4-6	2-3	4-4	4	3	0	0	14
Caleb Love	Guard	29	5-10	2-5	0-0	7	4	1	0	12
Kylan Boswell	G	29	3-8	0-3	1-2	4	5	0	1	7
Jaden Bradley	G	16	2-5	1-1	1-2	0	3	1	0	6
Motiejus Krivas	C	16	1-1	0-0	2-4	5	0	0	1	4
Filip Borovicanin	F	5	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Pelle Larsson	Guard	28	0-5	0-4	3-4	6	3	0	0	3
Conrad Martinez	G	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Will Menaugh	Forward	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Paulius Murauskas	F	4	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Grant Weitman	Guard	3	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.3Possessions78.3

83.0Offensive Efficiency116.2

116.2Defensive Efficiency83.0

-33.2Net Efficiency33.2

42.1%Effective FG%56.2%

43.8%True Shooting %57.4%

15.1%Turnover Rate15.5%

12.9%Free Throw Rate46.2%

40.0%3-Point Rate36.9%

0.83Assist / Turnover1.75

Game Summary

Arizona won by 26 points. The game played at approximately 78.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.