Auburn

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

68.2%Auburn

31.8%Ole Miss

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAuburn -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL160.6

MODEL MONEYLINEAuburn -214

Ole Miss

15-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAuburn 82

Projected Total160.6

Projected ScoreOle Miss 79

Team Comparison

AuburnMetricOle Miss

64.4MMH Power Index53

118.8Offensive Efficiency109.2

113.0Defensive Efficiency109.5

5.8Net Efficiency-0.3

7.5Strength of Schedule5.4

8.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.3

69.8Tempo69.5

53.1%Effective FG%50.6%

14.5%Turnover Rate14.0%

36.5%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

43.8%Free Throw Rate33.8%

4.1Average Margin-0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Auburn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAuburn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.4–53.0), offensive efficiency (118.8–109.2), net efficiency (5.8–-0.3), strength of schedule (7.5–5.4).

Ole Miss COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.5–113.0), ball security (14.0–14.5).

Final

Auburn

91—77

Ole Miss

Auburn by 14 • 68.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AuburnTEAM STATOle Miss

35-64FG28-62

54.7%FG%45.2%

12-273PT8-19

44.4%3PT%42.1%

9-13FT13-17

69.2%FT%76.5%

42Rebounds26

14Offensive Rebounds8

25Assists20

11Turnovers8

4Steals5

6Blocks6

16Fouls14

Player Box Score

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylin Williams	Forward	27	6-11	1-4	3-4	5	2	0	0	16
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	26	5-10	3-6	2-2	9	2	0	1	15
Johni Broome	Forward	25	7-13	1-3	0-2	9	7	0	3	15
Denver Jones	Guard	27	4-8	2-5	1-1	3	1	1	0	11
K.D. Johnson	Guard	13	4-4	1-1	2-2	2	3	1	0	11
Tre Donaldson	G	25	4-8	2-3	0-0	0	6	1	0	10
Aden Holloway	G	15	2-5	1-4	1-2	0	3	0	0	6
Chaney Johnson	Forward	13	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Chris Moore	Forward	11	1-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Dylan Cardwell	Center	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	2	0
Lior Berman	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Ole Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Allen Flanigan	Guard	34	6-15	2-3	6-7	5	1	1	0	20
Matthew Murrell	Guard	36	7-16	3-7	1-2	5	3	1	0	18
Jaemyn Brakefield	Forward	32	4-7	1-1	6-6	1	5	0	2	15
Moussa Cisse	Center	24	6-7	0-0	0-2	3	0	0	4	12
Brandon Murray	Not Available	24	3-4	2-3	0-0	6	2	1	0	8
Jaylen Murray	Guard	32	2-12	0-4	0-0	1	6	2	0	4
T.J. Caldwell	G	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Rashaud Marshall	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Austin Nunez	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.7Possessions68.7

132.5Offensive Efficiency112.1

112.1Defensive Efficiency132.5

20.4Net Efficiency-20.4

64.1%Effective FG%51.6%

64.8%True Shooting %54.9%

16.4%Turnover Rate11.4%

20.3%Free Throw Rate27.4%

42.2%3-Point Rate30.6%

2.27Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Auburn won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 68.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.