Utah State

29-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.9%Utah State

47.1%San Diego State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -0.3

PROJECTED TOTAL152.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -112

San Diego State

22-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah State 76

Projected Total152.9

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 77

Team Comparison

Utah StateMetricSan Diego State

65.7MMH Power Index60.1

119.7Offensive Efficiency110.3

103.1Defensive Efficiency99.3

16.6Net Efficiency11.0

3.5Strength of Schedule3.8

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

68.6Tempo70.8

56.9%Effective FG%53.2%

15.1%Turnover Rate17.2%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

39.1%Free Throw Rate39.6%

11.4Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–60.1), offensive efficiency (119.7–110.3), net efficiency (16.6–11.0), shooting efficiency (56.9–53.2).

San Diego State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.3–103.1), strength of schedule (3.8–3.5), recent form (0.4–0.3).

Final

Utah State

67—81

San Diego State

San Diego State by 14 • 68.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Utah StateTEAM STATSan Diego State

25-61FG26-55

41.0%FG%47.3%

6-233PT9-20

26.1%3PT%45.0%

11-13FT20-28

84.6%FT%71.4%

30Rebounds39

10Offensive Rebounds12

15Assists10

12Turnovers11

8Steals8

4Blocks5

21Fouls13

Player Box Score

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Great Osobor	Forward	37	8-14	0-2	1-1	7	1	3	0	17
Mason Falslev	G	27	7-11	2-3	0-0	5	1	1	0	16
Darius Brown II	Guard	40	4-14	2-7	3-3	8	5	3	1	13
Ian Martinez	Guard	36	1-7	1-4	5-7	3	5	0	0	8
Isaac Johnson	C	26	3-8	1-4	0-0	1	1	0	1	7
Karson Templin	F	9	1-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	2	4
Josh Uduje	Guard	17	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Kalifa Sakho	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Javon Jackson	G	4	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaedon LeDee	Forward	35	6-13	1-2	3-4	9	2	2	0	16
Jay Pal	Forward	25	5-5	2-2	4-6	7	0	1	1	16
Micah Parrish	Guard	21	5-11	2-5	2-2	2	0	1	2	14
Darrion Trammell	Guard	30	3-5	1-2	5-6	3	3	1	1	12
Elijah Saunders	F	15	3-5	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	8
Lamont Butler	Guard	30	2-7	0-1	3-4	1	4	2	0	7
Reese Waters	Guard	25	2-8	1-4	2-2	2	1	1	0	7
Miles Heide	F	5	0-0	0-0	1-4	4	0	0	0	1
Miles Byrd	G	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.3Possessions68.3

98.1Offensive Efficiency118.6

118.6Defensive Efficiency98.1

-20.5Net Efficiency20.5

45.9%Effective FG%55.5%

49.9%True Shooting %59.3%

17.3%Turnover Rate16.3%

21.3%Free Throw Rate50.9%

37.7%3-Point Rate36.4%

1.25Assist / Turnover0.91

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 68.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.