Mississippi State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.6%Mississippi State

96.4%Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama -21.5

PROJECTED TOTAL172.7

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama -2678

Alabama

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi State 76

Projected Total172.7

Projected ScoreAlabama 97

Team Comparison

Mississippi StateMetricAlabama

44.6MMH Power Index69.5

107.4Offensive Efficiency121.6

113.2Defensive Efficiency111.2

-5.8Net Efficiency10.4

5.0Strength of Schedule9.4

-17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

72.3Tempo74.7

51.6%Effective FG%54.9%

16.1%Turnover Rate13.0%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

30.9%Free Throw Rate36.9%

-4.2Average Margin7.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAlabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.5–44.6), offensive efficiency (121.6–107.4), defensive efficiency (111.2–113.2), net efficiency (10.4–-5.8).

Final

Mississippi State

67—99

Alabama

Alabama by 32 • 78.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi StateTEAM STATAlabama

22-55FG37-83

40.0%FG%44.6%

4-163PT15-48

25.0%3PT%31.3%

19-32FT10-10

59.4%FT%100.0%

37Rebounds48

11Offensive Rebounds20

11Assists19

18Turnovers11

7Steals13

—Blocks5

16Fouls24

Player Box Score

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Tolu Smith	Forward	25	8-14	0-0	7-13	5	1	1	23
Shakeel Moore	Guard	29	4-9	1-4	4-4	4	3	2	13
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	30	4-9	2-4	0-0	6	1	2	10
Josh Hubbard	G	25	1-9	0-5	5-6	2	1	0	7
Jimmy Bell Jr.	Forward	12	3-5	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	6
Adrian Myers	G	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	3
Cameron Matthews	Forward	26	1-1	0-0	0-3	6	0	1	2
Dashawn Davis	Guard	26	0-4	0-2	2-2	3	3	0	2
Jaquan Scott	F	12	0-2	0-0	1-2	2	1	1	1
D.J. Jeffries	Forward	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0
Gai Chol	C	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Sears	Guard	28	6-10	3-6	6-6	4	3	2	0	21
Aaron Estrada	Guard	27	7-13	1-4	0-0	8	3	1	0	15
Jarin Stevenson	F	22	5-8	4-6	0-0	2	0	1	0	14
Mo Dioubate	F	19	6-10	0-3	2-2	9	2	1	2	14
Rylan Griffen	G	20	3-9	2-8	0-0	2	1	2	0	8
Sam Walters	F	20	3-11	2-6	0-0	7	2	0	0	8
Latrell Wrightsell	G	28	2-9	2-8	0-0	5	5	3	0	6
Mohamed Wague	F	11	3-5	0-1	0-0	3	0	2	1	6
Kai Spears	G	1	1-1	1-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	5
Grant Nelson	Forward	14	1-3	0-1	0-0	5	1	1	2	2
Davin Cosby Jr.	G	9	0-4	0-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Max Scharnowski	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.0Possessions78.0

85.9Offensive Efficiency126.9

126.9Defensive Efficiency85.9

-41.0Net Efficiency41.0

43.6%Effective FG%53.6%

47.7%True Shooting %56.4%

23.3%Turnover Rate14.0%

58.2%Free Throw Rate12.0%

29.1%3-Point Rate57.8%

0.61Assist / Turnover1.73

Game Summary

Alabama won by 32 points. The game played at approximately 78.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.