Purdue

30-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

61.3%Purdue

38.7%Wisconsin

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPurdue -1.6

PROJECTED TOTAL159.0

MODEL MONEYLINEPurdue -158

Wisconsin

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePurdue 80

Projected Total159.0

Projected ScoreWisconsin 79

Team Comparison

PurdueMetricWisconsin

73.2MMH Power Index64.5

124.8Offensive Efficiency118.6

107.8Defensive Efficiency108.8

17.0Net Efficiency9.8

7.6Strength of Schedule6.7

11.8Last 10 Net Efficiency5.6

65.4Tempo69.9

57.8%Effective FG%54.6%

13.7%Turnover Rate12.8%

36.2%Offensive Rebound %28.7%

29.1%Free Throw Rate32.5%

11.1Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Purdue HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPurdue holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (73.2–64.5), offensive efficiency (124.8–118.6), defensive efficiency (107.8–108.8), net efficiency (17.0–9.8).

Wisconsin COUNTERS WITHball security (12.8–13.7), free throw rate (32.5–29.1).

Final

Purdue

75—69

Wisconsin

Purdue by 6 • 65.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PurdueTEAM STATWisconsin

27-57FG27-65

47.4%FG%41.5%

3-113PT3-19

27.3%3PT%15.8%

18-23FT12-14

78.3%FT%85.7%

42Rebounds29

14Offensive Rebounds10

12Assists15

11Turnovers5

4Steals6

3Blocks4

16Fouls21

Player Box Score

Purdue

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lance Jones	Guard	34	8-14	3-7	1-1	6	3	1	0	20
Braden Smith	G	36	7-15	0-1	5-5	6	3	2	0	19
Zach Edey	Center	36	7-13	0-0	4-8	13	2	0	3	18
Fletcher Loyer	G	29	3-7	0-0	6-7	2	1	1	0	12
Trey Kaufman-Renn	F	17	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Mason Gillis	Forward	22	0-3	0-3	2-2	6	2	0	0	2
Camden Heide	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ethan Morton	Guard	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Caleb Furst	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Wisconsin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Wahl	Forward	36	10-16	0-1	0-0	7	5	3	2	20
AJ Storr	G	29	4-15	0-4	6-7	2	1	0	0	14
Max Klesmit	Guard	29	4-7	2-4	0-1	2	1	0	1	10
Steve Crowl	Forward	28	3-6	0-0	2-2	5	1	0	0	8
Chucky Hepburn	Guard	36	1-6	0-1	4-4	4	5	2	1	6
Connor Essegian	G	12	3-7	0-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
John Blackwell	G	14	2-4	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Nolan Winter	F	12	0-3	0-2	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Carter Gilmore	Forward	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.8Possessions65.8

114.0Offensive Efficiency104.9

104.9Defensive Efficiency114.0

9.1Net Efficiency-9.1

50.0%Effective FG%43.8%

55.2%True Shooting %48.2%

16.9%Turnover Rate7.5%

40.4%Free Throw Rate21.5%

19.3%3-Point Rate29.2%

1.09Assist / Turnover3.00

Game Summary

Purdue won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 65.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.