Nebraska

28-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.3%Nebraska

82.7%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -10.3

PROJECTED TOTAL148.9

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -478

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNebraska 69

Projected Total148.9

Projected ScoreIllinois 80

Team Comparison

NebraskaMetricIllinois

67MMH Power Index76.5

114.4Offensive Efficiency125.0

98.3Defensive Efficiency103.3

16.1Net Efficiency21.7

6.1Strength of Schedule6.7

6.8Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

67.3Tempo66.5

55.6%Effective FG%54.8%

14.4%Turnover Rate13.1%

26.3%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

26.9%Free Throw Rate33.8%

10.8Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–67.0), offensive efficiency (125.0–114.4), net efficiency (21.7–16.1), strength of schedule (6.7–6.1).

Nebraska COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (98.3–103.3), shooting efficiency (55.6–54.8).

Final

Nebraska

84—87

Illinois

Illinois by 3 • 80.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NebraskaTEAM STATIllinois

29-68FG29-70

43.0%FG%41.0%

12-283PT9-34

43.0%3PT%26.0%

14-14FT20-30

100.0%FT%67.0%

33Rebounds50

5Offensive Rebounds17

12Assists18

9Turnovers14

6Steals7

2Blocks5

21Fouls11

Player Box Score

Nebraska

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keisei Tominaga	Guard	33	9-14	5-7	8-8	3	3	0	0	31
Rienk Mast	F	37	8-21	4-9	2-2	6	2	1	1	22
Juwan Gary	Forward	35	4-5	0-0	4-4	11	2	2	0	12
Brice Williams	Guard	34	3-12	1-5	0-0	3	1	0	1	7
Josiah Allick	Forward	33	2-5	1-1	0-0	4	1	3	0	5
Sam Hoiberg	G	19	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
CJ Wilcher	Guard	19	1-6	0-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Jamarques Lawrence	G	15	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Coleman Hawkins	Guard	36	7-13	4-7	2-2	7	5	2	0	20
Marcus Domask	Forward	43	7-15	1-4	4-5	3	5	0	1	19
Terrence Shannon Jr.	Not Available	39	6-16	3-10	3-6	2	2	2	0	18
Quincy Guerrier	Forward	26	3-5	1-2	5-8	7	0	0	1	12
Ty Rodgers	G	33	3-5	0-0	2-4	14	3	3	2	8
Dain Dainja	Forward	9	3-4	0-0	0-1	3	0	0	1	6
Justin Harmon	Guard	18	0-5	0-4	4-4	2	3	0	0	4
Luke Goode	Forward	19	0-6	0-6	0-0	8	0	0	0	0
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

80.0Possessions80.0

105.0Offensive Efficiency108.7

108.7Defensive Efficiency105.0

-3.7Net Efficiency3.8

51.5%Effective FG%47.9%

56.3%True Shooting %51.6%

11.4%Turnover Rate17.2%

20.6%Free Throw Rate42.9%

41.2%3-Point Rate48.6%

1.33Assist / Turnover1.29

Game Summary

Illinois won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 80.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.