Oklahoma State

20-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.7%Oklahoma State

95.3%Houston

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHouston -20.5

PROJECTED TOTAL155.9

MODEL MONEYLINEHouston -2028

Houston

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOklahoma State 68

Projected Total155.9

Projected ScoreHouston 88

Team Comparison

Oklahoma StateMetricHouston

53.5MMH Power Index76

112.1Offensive Efficiency118.4

111.2Defensive Efficiency95.9

0.9Net Efficiency22.5

6.1Strength of Schedule5.9

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency18.9

74.8Tempo65.2

52.2%Effective FG%52.3%

15.8%Turnover Rate12.9%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %35.3%

40.3%Free Throw Rate26.9%

0.7Average Margin14.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Houston HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHouston holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.0–53.5), offensive efficiency (118.4–112.1), defensive efficiency (95.9–111.2), net efficiency (22.5–0.9).

Oklahoma State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.1–5.9), free throw rate (40.3–26.9).

Final

Oklahoma State

63—79

Houston

Houston by 16 • 67.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Oklahoma StateTEAM STATHouston

17-42FG31-63

40.5%FG%49.2%

5-213PT6-15

23.8%3PT%40.0%

24-37FT11-14

64.9%FT%78.6%

28Rebounds34

8Offensive Rebounds13

5Assists13

17Turnovers10

7Steals11

3Blocks1

16Fouls23

Player Box Score

Oklahoma State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javon Small	Guard	31	3-6	0-2	12-14	5	2	0	0	18
John-Michael Wright	Guard	33	4-14	3-10	2-5	2	0	1	0	13
Brandon Garrison	F	24	2-4	0-0	5-6	7	0	1	0	9
Eric Dailey Jr.	F	15	2-3	1-1	1-1	4	0	1	1	6
Jamyron Keller	G	19	2-5	0-2	1-2	1	1	1	0	5
Quion Williams	G	33	1-4	0-2	2-4	0	1	1	1	4
Connor Dow	G	18	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	1	1	1	3
Justin McBride	F	6	1-3	0-2	1-5	3	0	1	0	3
Jarius Hicklen	Guard	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Mike Marsh	Center	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Houston

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamal Shead	Not Available	29	8-12	2-3	5-5	0	4	3	0	23
Emanuel Sharp	G	29	6-11	3-5	1-2	4	1	0	0	16
Mylik Wilson	Guard	21	5-10	0-1	2-3	4	0	2	0	12
Ja'Vier Francis	Forward	21	4-6	0-0	0-0	6	0	2	0	8
Damian Dunn	Not Available	19	3-6	1-3	1-2	3	2	0	0	8
L.J. Cryer	Guard	26	2-10	0-3	2-2	3	4	2	0	6
J'Wan Roberts	Forward	12	2-4	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	4
Joseph Tugler	F	13	1-4	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	1	2
Ramon Walker Jr.	G	22	0-0	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	0	0
Cedric Lath	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.7Possessions67.7

93.1Offensive Efficiency116.7

116.7Defensive Efficiency93.1

-23.6Net Efficiency23.6

46.4%Effective FG%54.0%

52.9%True Shooting %56.7%

24.8%Turnover Rate15.0%

88.1%Free Throw Rate22.2%

50.0%3-Point Rate23.8%

0.29Assist / Turnover1.30

Game Summary

Houston won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 67.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.