Dayton

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.8%Dayton

42.2%Saint Joseph's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -0.6

PROJECTED TOTAL143.8

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -137

Saint Joseph's

24-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDayton 72

Projected Total143.8

Projected ScoreSaint Joseph's 72

Team Comparison

DaytonMetricSaint Joseph's

59.9MMH Power Index52.5

108.5Offensive Efficiency106.5

101.5Defensive Efficiency102.2

7.0Net Efficiency4.3

5.7Strength of Schedule-0.2

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency6.7

68.3Tempo68.7

52.0%Effective FG%49.8%

16.9%Turnover Rate17.0%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

47.6%Free Throw Rate31.1%

4.8Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–52.5), offensive efficiency (108.5–106.5), defensive efficiency (101.5–102.2), net efficiency (7.0–4.3).

Saint Joseph's COUNTERS WITHrecent form (6.7–6.4), offensive rebounding (32.4–26.7).

Final

Dayton

94—79

Saint Joseph's

Dayton by 15 • 73.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DaytonTEAM STATSaint Joseph's

33-58FG31-64

56.9%FG%48.4%

12-223PT13-37

54.5%3PT%35.1%

16-22FT4-8

72.7%FT%50.0%

33Rebounds27

8Offensive Rebounds8

19Assists15

13Turnovers13

4Steals6

3Blocks3

13Fouls17

Player Box Score

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nate Santos	Forward	36	8-12	2-4	3-3	5	2	2	1	21
Kobe Elvis	Guard	34	8-13	3-5	2-3	1	10	0	0	21
Javon Bennett	G	29	5-6	2-2	6-8	4	4	0	0	18
DaRon Holmes II	Center	36	4-9	0-2	5-8	3	2	0	2	13
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	32	5-9	2-4	0-0	7	0	2	0	12
Koby Brea	Guard	27	3-7	3-5	0-0	7	1	0	0	9
Isaac Jack	F	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Saint Joseph's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cameron Brown	Guard	30	7-13	5-11	0-0	2	2	0	0	19
Lynn Greer III	Guard	36	8-12	0-2	2-2	5	4	0	0	18
Xzayvier Brown	G	30	6-12	3-6	0-1	4	2	0	0	15
Rasheer Fleming	Forward	34	5-11	3-7	1-2	6	3	1	1	14
Christ Essandoko	F	29	3-4	1-2	0-1	6	2	1	2	7
Erik Reynolds II	Guard	35	2-11	1-8	1-2	2	2	4	0	6
Anthony Finkley	F	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Shawn Simmons II	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.2Possessions73.2

128.4Offensive Efficiency107.9

107.9Defensive Efficiency128.4

20.5Net Efficiency-20.5

67.2%Effective FG%58.6%

68.7%True Shooting %58.3%

17.7%Turnover Rate17.9%

37.9%Free Throw Rate12.5%

37.9%3-Point Rate57.8%

1.46Assist / Turnover1.15

Game Summary

Dayton won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 73.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.