San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

97.4%San Diego State

2.6%Air Force

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -23.9

PROJECTED TOTAL145.7

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -3746

Air Force

3-29

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 85

Projected Total145.7

Projected ScoreAir Force 61

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricAir Force

60.1MMH Power Index23

110.3Offensive Efficiency91.3

99.3Defensive Efficiency118.5

11.0Net Efficiency-27.2

3.8Strength of Schedule6.2

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-33.5

70.8Tempo67.4

53.2%Effective FG%49.0%

17.2%Turnover Rate21.9%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %21.4%

39.6%Free Throw Rate35.9%

7.8Average Margin-18.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–23.0), offensive efficiency (110.3–91.3), defensive efficiency (99.3–118.5), net efficiency (11.0–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–3.8).

Final

San Diego State

77—64

Air Force

San Diego State by 13 • 60.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATAir Force

25-49FG21-46

51.0%FG%45.7%

11-223PT10-20

50.0%3PT%50.0%

16-22FT12-21

72.7%FT%57.1%

29Rebounds25

9Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists10

9Turnovers14

8Steals7

5Blocks2

19Fouls19

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Reese Waters	Guard	27	5-8	5-8	0-0	4	2	1	0	15
Micah Parrish	Guard	26	4-6	2-3	4-4	1	2	1	0	14
Jaedon LeDee	Forward	25	4-9	0-0	6-8	9	2	1	0	14
Lamont Butler	Guard	24	5-8	0-0	1-2	3	1	1	0	11
Elijah Saunders	F	13	1-2	1-2	4-4	2	1	0	1	7
Darrion Trammell	Guard	31	2-4	2-2	0-0	2	4	2	1	6
Miles Heide	F	13	3-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Miles Byrd	G	13	1-5	1-5	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Jay Pal	Forward	20	0-2	0-1	1-3	5	2	1	3	1
Shay Johnson Jr.	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
BJ Davis	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	0
Cade Alger	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ryan Schwarz	Guard	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeffrey Mills	Guard	35	5-9	3-7	2-2	0	3	1	0	15
Beau Becker	Forward	29	5-6	4-4	1-2	4	2	1	0	15
Byron Brown	Guard	36	3-5	0-0	3-3	3	0	0	2	9
Luke Kearney	F	10	2-2	2-2	1-2	1	0	1	0	7
Ethan Taylor	Guard	34	3-12	0-5	0-0	4	2	1	0	6
Kolby Gilles	F	8	2-3	1-1	1-2	3	0	0	0	6
Rytis Petraitis	F	30	0-6	0-0	4-8	8	3	2	0	4
Kellan Boylan	F	7	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Chase Beasley	Guard	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Wesley Celichowski	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	0
Brady Ruggles	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.8Possessions60.8

126.6Offensive Efficiency105.3

105.3Defensive Efficiency126.6

21.4Net Efficiency-21.4

62.2%Effective FG%56.5%

64.8%True Shooting %57.2%

15.1%Turnover Rate22.6%

44.9%Free Throw Rate45.7%

44.9%3-Point Rate43.5%

1.56Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 60.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.