Alabama

24-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.5%Alabama

48.5%Auburn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama -0.0

PROJECTED TOTAL174.2

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama -106

Auburn

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama 87

Projected Total174.2

Projected ScoreAuburn 87

Team Comparison

AlabamaMetricAuburn

69.5MMH Power Index64.4

121.6Offensive Efficiency118.8

111.2Defensive Efficiency113.0

10.4Net Efficiency5.8

9.4Strength of Schedule7.5

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

74.7Tempo69.8

54.9%Effective FG%53.1%

13.0%Turnover Rate14.5%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %36.5%

36.9%Free Throw Rate43.8%

7.7Average Margin4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAlabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.5–64.4), offensive efficiency (121.6–118.8), defensive efficiency (111.2–113.0), net efficiency (10.4–5.8).

Auburn COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (36.5–32.1), free throw rate (43.8–36.9).

Final

Alabama

81—99

Auburn

Auburn by 18 • 77.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AlabamaTEAM STATAuburn

22-59FG27-64

37.3%FG%42.2%

9-263PT5-19

34.6%3PT%26.3%

28-35FT40-50

80.0%FT%80.0%

35Rebounds42

14Offensive Rebounds15

8Assists15

15Turnovers5

2Steals13

5Blocks12

33Fouls28

Player Box Score

Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Sears	Guard	37	6-13	1-3	12-13	9	4	1	0	25
Grant Nelson	Forward	26	3-7	1-4	9-12	6	2	0	2	16
Rylan Griffen	G	30	5-9	4-6	0-0	2	0	0	0	14
Aaron Estrada	Guard	28	4-10	1-3	1-1	2	1	1	0	10
Latrell Wrightsell	G	26	3-9	2-7	0-0	4	0	0	0	8
Jarin Stevenson	F	20	0-3	0-3	3-4	1	1	0	0	3
Nick Pringle	F	14	1-7	0-0	1-3	7	0	0	0	3
Mohamed Wague	F	2	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Mo Dioubate	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Sam Walters	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2	0
Davin Cosby Jr.	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylin Williams	Forward	31	8-13	1-3	9-10	6	1	1	2	26
Johni Broome	Forward	26	7-16	1-4	9-11	7	2	2	5	24
Tre Donaldson	G	24	5-9	0-0	4-4	6	4	1	0	14
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	20	2-5	1-2	8-11	6	2	1	0	13
K.D. Johnson	Guard	21	2-10	1-3	2-4	0	1	3	1	7
Aden Holloway	G	15	1-6	1-5	3-4	1	1	1	0	6
Denver Jones	Guard	18	1-2	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	4
Dylan Cardwell	Center	13	1-1	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	3	4
Blake Muschalek	G	1	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Chris Moore	Forward	15	0-1	0-1	0-0	5	3	3	1	0
Chaney Johnson	Forward	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Lior Berman	Guard	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Addarin Scott	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Carter Sobera	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jalen Harper	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.2Possessions77.2

104.9Offensive Efficiency128.2

128.2Defensive Efficiency104.9

-23.3Net Efficiency23.3

44.9%Effective FG%46.1%

53.6%True Shooting %56.4%

19.6%Turnover Rate6.4%

59.3%Free Throw Rate78.1%

44.1%3-Point Rate29.7%

0.53Assist / Turnover3.00

Game Summary

Auburn won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 77.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.