Creighton

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.7%Creighton

71.3%Providence

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADProvidence -6.2

PROJECTED TOTAL164.2

MODEL MONEYLINEProvidence -248

Providence

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCreighton 79

Projected Total164.2

Projected ScoreProvidence 85

Team Comparison

CreightonMetricProvidence

50.6MMH Power Index54.2

109.0Offensive Efficiency115.0

109.5Defensive Efficiency113.2

-0.5Net Efficiency1.8

5.1Strength of Schedule4.0

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

68.9Tempo74.2

53.0%Effective FG%55.0%

16.6%Turnover Rate16.7%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

29.0%Free Throw Rate37.3%

-0.3Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Providence HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMProvidence holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–50.6), offensive efficiency (115.0–109.0), net efficiency (1.8–-0.5), recent form (-1.3–-5.2).

Creighton COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.5–113.2), strength of schedule (5.1–4.0), ball security (16.6–16.7).

Final

Creighton

87—91

Providence

Providence by 4 • 75.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CreightonTEAM STATProvidence

33-65FG34-73

51.0%FG%47.0%

14-293PT11-26

48.0%3PT%42.0%

7-8FT12-14

88.0%FT%86.0%

33Rebounds39

5Offensive Rebounds13

20Assists16

12Turnovers8

5Steals9

3Blocks3

14Fouls11

Player Box Score

Creighton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Baylor Scheierman	Forward	45	11-19	4-10	1-2	12	0	1	0	27
Steven Ashworth	Guard	30	6-11	6-7	2-2	4	5	1	0	20
Trey Alexander	Guard	45	7-16	2-5	2-2	4	6	3	0	18
Ryan Kalkbrenner	Center	42	5-10	0-1	2-2	5	7	0	3	12
Francisco Farabello	Guard	34	2-6	2-5	0-0	4	1	0	0	6
Jasen Green	F	4	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Mason Miller	F	22	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Isaac Traudt	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Oduro	Forward	39	12-24	1-3	7-8	12	3	1	1	32
Devin Carter	Guard	42	10-19	5-8	3-4	11	6	4	1	28
Jayden Pierre	G	38	4-9	2-6	0-0	1	3	1	0	10
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	37	4-13	2-6	0-0	3	1	0	0	10
Ticket Gaines	Guard	40	2-4	1-2	2-2	5	1	1	0	7
Garwey Dual	G	11	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Rafael Castro	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Rich Barron	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.3Possessions75.3

115.5Offensive Efficiency120.8

120.8Defensive Efficiency115.5

-5.3Net Efficiency5.3

61.5%Effective FG%54.1%

63.2%True Shooting %57.1%

15.8%Turnover Rate10.7%

12.3%Free Throw Rate19.2%

44.6%3-Point Rate35.6%

1.67Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Providence won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 75.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.