Dayton

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.0%Dayton

76.0%VCU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVCU -8.6

PROJECTED TOTAL149.6

MODEL MONEYLINEVCU -317

VCU

28-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDayton 70

Projected Total149.6

Projected ScoreVCU 79

Team Comparison

DaytonMetricVCU

59.9MMH Power Index65.7

108.5Offensive Efficiency116.4

101.5Defensive Efficiency103.3

7.0Net Efficiency13.1

5.7Strength of Schedule5.4

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency6.0

68.3Tempo69.5

52.0%Effective FG%53.7%

16.9%Turnover Rate15.1%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

47.6%Free Throw Rate42.9%

4.8Average Margin9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

VCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–59.9), offensive efficiency (116.4–108.5), net efficiency (13.1–7.0), shooting efficiency (53.7–52.0).

Dayton COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.5–103.3), strength of schedule (5.7–5.4), recent form (6.4–6.0).

Final

Dayton

47—49

VCU

VCU by 2 • 60.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DaytonTEAM STATVCU

17-47FG20-53

36.2%FG%37.7%

4-173PT5-21

23.5%3PT%23.8%

9-18FT4-8

50.0%FT%50.0%

32Rebounds37

2Offensive Rebounds5

9Assists13

8Turnovers8

5Steals6

1Blocks4

11Fouls12

Player Box Score

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nate Santos	Forward	35	7-12	1-3	4-5	6	0	1	0	19
DaRon Holmes II	Center	35	3-8	1-2	5-13	11	2	2	1	12
Koby Brea	Guard	31	2-7	2-6	0-0	4	1	0	0	6
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	26	3-6	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Javon Bennett	G	32	1-6	0-3	0-0	2	4	2	0	2
Isaac Jack	F	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Kobe Elvis	Guard	30	0-6	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	0
Petras Padegimas	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

VCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jason Nelson	G	13	4-5	3-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	11
Zeb Jackson	Guard	29	4-7	1-4	0-0	6	0	0	0	9
Sean Bairstow	Guard	34	3-9	0-3	0-0	8	3	0	0	6
Tobi Lawal	F	17	3-4	0-0	0-2	4	0	1	1	6
Joe Bamisile	Guard	23	2-8	1-5	0-0	4	1	2	0	5
Christian Fermin	F	22	2-8	0-0	1-2	1	1	0	2	5
Kuany Kuany	Forward	22	2-4	0-1	0-0	3	2	1	1	4
Max Shulga	Guard	30	0-5	0-3	2-2	4	5	1	0	2
Michael Belle	F	10	0-3	0-1	1-2	3	1	1	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

60.7Possessions60.7

77.4Offensive Efficiency80.7

80.7Defensive Efficiency77.4

-3.3Net Efficiency3.3

40.4%Effective FG%42.5%

42.3%True Shooting %43.1%

13.0%Turnover Rate13.4%

38.3%Free Throw Rate15.1%

36.2%3-Point Rate39.6%

1.13Assist / Turnover1.63

Game Summary

VCU won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 60.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.