San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.3%San Diego State

61.7%Nevada

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNevada -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL149.6

MODEL MONEYLINENevada -161

Nevada

24-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 73

Projected Total149.6

Projected ScoreNevada 76

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricNevada

60.1MMH Power Index59.8

110.3Offensive Efficiency112.4

99.3Defensive Efficiency105.7

11.0Net Efficiency6.7

3.8Strength of Schedule3.7

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency7.8

70.8Tempo67.7

53.2%Effective FG%50.2%

17.2%Turnover Rate14.8%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %31.9%

39.6%Free Throw Rate46.0%

7.8Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–59.8), defensive efficiency (99.3–105.7), net efficiency (11.0–6.7), strength of schedule (3.8–3.7).

Nevada COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.4–110.3), recent form (7.8–0.4), ball security (14.8–17.2).

Final

San Diego State

66—70

Nevada

Nevada by 4 • 72.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATNevada

20-49FG24-52

41.0%FG%46.0%

3-193PT3-13

16.0%3PT%23.0%

23-27FT19-32

85.0%FT%59.0%

32Rebounds34

6Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists14

16Turnovers16

7Steals8

3Blocks1

27Fouls25

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaedon LeDee	Forward	33	4-8	0-0	12-14	7	1	1	0	20
Darrion Trammell	Guard	40	4-7	0-3	3-4	2	4	1	0	11
Micah Parrish	Guard	38	2-11	1-7	4-4	10	4	0	0	9
Reese Waters	Guard	29	3-9	1-4	0-0	3	1	2	1	7
Elijah Saunders	F	13	2-3	0-1	2-2	3	0	0	0	6
Lamont Butler	Guard	21	2-5	1-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	5
Miles Heide	F	12	2-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	5
Jay Pal	Forward	24	1-2	0-0	1-1	2	0	1	2	3
Miles Byrd	G	15	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	0

Nevada

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kenan Blackshear	Guard	33	8-15	0-0	6-12	4	1	2	0	22
Jarod Lucas	Guard	39	4-9	2-4	5-6	5	2	1	0	15
Nick Davidson	F	35	6-10	0-2	2-4	5	1	1	0	14
Tre Coleman	Forward	40	2-10	1-6	2-2	3	4	2	0	7
Tyler Rolison	G	18	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	2	2	0	4
Daniel Foster	Guard	31	0-1	0-0	2-2	6	4	0	0	2
K.J. Hymes	Forward	16	0-1	0-0	2-4	1	0	0	1	2
Hunter McIntosh	Guard	9	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jazz Gardner	C	4	1-1	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

72.0Possessions72.0

91.7Offensive Efficiency97.2

97.2Defensive Efficiency91.7

-5.6Net Efficiency5.6

43.9%Effective FG%49.0%

53.4%True Shooting %52.1%

22.3%Turnover Rate22.2%

55.1%Free Throw Rate61.5%

38.8%3-Point Rate25.0%

0.63Assist / Turnover0.88

Game Summary

Nevada won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 72.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.