North Carolina logo

North Carolina

24-9
GAME THAT MATTERSAT
36.8%North Carolina
63.2%Miami
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADMiami -4.8
PROJECTED TOTAL154.6
MODEL MONEYLINEMiami -172
Miami logo

Miami

26-9
MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 75
Projected Total154.6
Projected ScoreMiami 80

Team Comparison

65.2MMH Power Index65.5
115.5Offensive Efficiency117.8
103.8Defensive Efficiency103.0
11.7Net Efficiency14.8
7.6Strength of Schedule3.6
-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency3.6
69.0Tempo69.2
54.6%Effective FG%55.5%
13.9%Turnover Rate16.2%
31.1%Offensive Rebound %37.3%
38.1%Free Throw Rate37.9%
8.1Average Margin10.3
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ

Miami HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.2%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
8–3
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMiami holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.5–65.2), offensive efficiency (117.8–115.5), defensive efficiency (103.0–103.8), net efficiency (14.8–11.7).
North Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.6–3.6), ball security (13.9–16.2), free throw rate (38.1–37.9).
Final
North Carolina logo
North Carolina
75—72
Miami logo
Miami
North Carolina by 3 • 72.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North CarolinaTEAM STATMiami
24-59FG28-66
40.7%FG%42.4%
11-313PT6-23
35.5%3PT%26.1%
16-24FT10-13
66.7%FT%76.9%
43Rebounds38
14Offensive Rebounds12
15Assists13
16Turnovers13
8Steals10
5Blocks5
19Fouls17

Player Box Score

North Carolina
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
RJ DavisGuard396-195-118-875210025
Elliot CadeauG357-142-63-438400019
Harrison IngramForward344-72-53-750020013
Armando BacotForward365-80-10-1150120010
Cormac RyanGuard242-62-51-20100007
Zayden HighF30-20-11-22010001
Paxson WojcikGuard180-20-20-03000000
Jalen WashingtonF60-10-00-02000000
Jae'Lyn WithersForward50-00-00-00100000
Miami
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Norchad OmierForward367-170-36-8111230020
Nijel PackG358-174-80-113110020
Wooga PoplarGuard375-131-62-2102100013
Matthew ClevelandGuard293-61-20-02220007
Bensley JosephGuard362-90-42-26441006
Mike NwokoF62-20-00-01000004
Jakai RobinsonG131-20-00-02000002
AJ CaseyF80-00-00-00100000

Advanced Game Stats

72.8Possessions72.8
103.0Offensive Efficiency98.9
98.9Defensive Efficiency103.0
4.1Net Efficiency-4.1
50.0%Effective FG%47.0%
53.3%True Shooting %49.9%
22.1%Turnover Rate17.8%
40.7%Free Throw Rate19.7%
52.5%3-Point Rate34.8%
0.94Assist / Turnover1.00
Game Summary
North Carolina won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 72.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.