Houston

29-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

75.1%Houston

24.9%Cincinnati

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHouston -6.4

PROJECTED TOTAL139.9

MODEL MONEYLINEHouston -302

Cincinnati

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHouston 73

Projected Total139.9

Projected ScoreCincinnati 67

Team Comparison

HoustonMetricCincinnati

76MMH Power Index61.5

118.4Offensive Efficiency105.3

95.9Defensive Efficiency97.3

22.5Net Efficiency8.0

5.9Strength of Schedule5.1

18.9Last 10 Net Efficiency14.4

65.2Tempo69.4

52.3%Effective FG%50.6%

12.9%Turnover Rate17.0%

35.3%Offensive Rebound %30.6%

26.9%Free Throw Rate30.7%

14.7Average Margin5.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Houston HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHouston holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.0–61.5), offensive efficiency (118.4–105.3), defensive efficiency (95.9–97.3), net efficiency (22.5–8.0).

Cincinnati COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (30.7–26.9).

Final

Houston

67—62

Cincinnati

Houston by 5 • 62.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

HoustonTEAM STATCincinnati

27-69FG19-51

39.1%FG%37.3%

3-163PT6-20

18.8%3PT%30.0%

10-14FT18-25

71.4%FT%72.0%

41Rebounds34

17Offensive Rebounds9

9Assists8

5Turnovers8

5Steals2

4Blocks3

20Fouls13

Player Box Score

Houston

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
J'Wan Roberts	Forward	36	10-15	0-0	0-1	8	0	0	1	20
Jamal Shead	Not Available	38	6-25	2-8	2-2	4	4	1	0	16
Emanuel Sharp	G	34	3-7	1-3	2-2	6	0	1	0	9
L.J. Cryer	Guard	17	2-7	0-4	4-5	2	1	0	0	8
Joseph Tugler	F	20	2-3	0-0	1-2	3	2	0	2	5
Ja'Vier Francis	Forward	19	2-3	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	1	5
Mylik Wilson	Guard	21	2-5	0-0	0-0	7	2	3	0	4
Damian Dunn	Not Available	12	0-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Ramon Walker Jr.	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	32	4-11	2-7	3-5	3	1	1	1	13
John Newman III	Forward	33	3-6	1-2	3-4	10	3	0	0	10
Jizzle James	G	20	3-8	0-0	4-6	3	0	0	1	10
Aziz Bandaogo	Forward	21	2-3	0-0	4-4	1	0	1	1	8
Jamille Reynolds	Forward	19	2-5	0-0	4-6	4	2	0	0	8
Day Day Thomas	G	22	3-7	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	7
Simas Lukosius	Guard	35	2-7	2-6	0-0	5	1	0	0	6
Viktor Lakhin	Center	13	0-4	0-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Ody Oguama	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
CJ Fredrick Jr.	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Josh Reed	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.8Possessions62.8

106.7Offensive Efficiency98.7

98.7Defensive Efficiency106.7

8.0Net Efficiency-8.0

41.3%Effective FG%43.1%

44.3%True Shooting %49.3%

7.9%Turnover Rate12.9%

20.3%Free Throw Rate49.0%

23.2%3-Point Rate39.2%

1.80Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Houston won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 62.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.