Alabama

24-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

76.8%Alabama

23.2%LSU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama -5.9

PROJECTED TOTAL173.0

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama -331

LSU

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama 89

Projected Total173.0

Projected ScoreLSU 84

Team Comparison

AlabamaMetricLSU

69.5MMH Power Index54.2

121.6Offensive Efficiency115.5

111.2Defensive Efficiency111.3

10.4Net Efficiency4.2

9.4Strength of Schedule4.5

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-12.8

74.7Tempo70.5

54.9%Effective FG%53.4%

13.0%Turnover Rate15.6%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

36.9%Free Throw Rate41.9%

7.7Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAlabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.5–54.2), offensive efficiency (121.6–115.5), defensive efficiency (111.2–111.3), net efficiency (10.4–4.2).

LSU COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (33.2–32.1), free throw rate (41.9–36.9).

Final

Alabama

109—92

LSU

Alabama by 17 • 78.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AlabamaTEAM STATLSU

38-81FG33-60

46.9%FG%55.0%

18-443PT7-19

40.9%3PT%36.8%

15-17FT19-26

88.2%FT%73.1%

43Rebounds31

19Offensive Rebounds6

25Assists15

8Turnovers12

8Steals5

2Blocks4

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Sears	Guard	36	7-19	4-9	5-6	8	5	3	0	23
Latrell Wrightsell	G	36	6-12	6-9	3-3	10	4	1	0	21
Nick Pringle	F	15	8-9	0-0	1-1	5	1	0	1	17
Rylan Griffen	G	30	5-10	4-8	2-2	2	6	1	0	16
Aaron Estrada	Guard	26	6-11	2-6	1-1	6	7	1	0	15
Grant Nelson	Forward	22	3-4	0-1	1-2	2	0	1	0	7
Jarin Stevenson	F	14	1-6	1-5	2-2	0	2	1	0	5
Sam Walters	F	11	2-6	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Mo Dioubate	F	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Max Scharnowski	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Davin Cosby Jr.	G	1	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kai Spears	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

LSU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Will Baker	Forward	27	9-14	2-4	4-4	5	2	1	1	24
Jalen Cook	Guard	29	6-17	1-6	7-9	8	4	0	0	20
Tyrell Ward	G	28	7-9	1-2	0-0	2	1	1	1	15
Jordan Wright	Guard	28	1-5	0-3	7-9	4	0	1	0	9
Jalen Reed	F	24	3-6	1-1	1-4	2	0	0	2	8
Mike Williams III	G	21	2-4	2-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Derek Fountain	Forward	19	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	4
Hunter Dean	Forward	10	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Trae Hannibal	Guard	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	6	0	0	2
Mwani Wilkinson	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.3Possessions78.3

139.2Offensive Efficiency117.5

117.5Defensive Efficiency139.2

21.7Net Efficiency-21.7

58.0%Effective FG%60.8%

61.2%True Shooting %63.6%

10.2%Turnover Rate15.3%

21.0%Free Throw Rate43.3%

54.3%3-Point Rate31.7%

3.13Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Alabama won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 78.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.