Gonzaga

31-4

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

70.8%Gonzaga

29.2%Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGonzaga -6.1

PROJECTED TOTAL155.3

MODEL MONEYLINEGonzaga -242

Kentucky

22-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGonzaga 81

Projected Total155.3

Projected ScoreKentucky 75

Team Comparison

GonzagaMetricKentucky

76.4MMH Power Index63.9

119.7Offensive Efficiency115.2

94.0Defensive Efficiency106.3

25.7Net Efficiency8.9

3.0Strength of Schedule8.7

18.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

70.4Tempo69.9

55.7%Effective FG%53.2%

13.6%Turnover Rate15.4%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

31.5%Free Throw Rate38.0%

18.1Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Gonzaga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGonzaga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.4–63.9), offensive efficiency (119.7–115.2), defensive efficiency (94.0–106.3), net efficiency (25.7–8.9).

Kentucky COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (8.7–3.0), free throw rate (38.0–31.5).

Final

Gonzaga

89—85

Kentucky

Gonzaga by 4 • 70.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

GonzagaTEAM STATKentucky

32-68FG28-61

47.1%FG%45.9%

4-183PT6-17

22.2%3PT%35.3%

21-24FT23-28

87.5%FT%82.1%

43Rebounds31

18Offensive Rebounds12

15Assists10

10Turnovers8

6Steals8

6Blocks10

18Fouls18

Player Box Score

Gonzaga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Graham Ike	F	24	10-17	0-0	3-3	5	1	0	1	23
Anton Watson	Forward	38	6-13	1-1	4-5	7	5	2	2	17
Nolan Hickman	Guard	37	6-14	1-5	4-4	5	0	0	1	17
Ben Gregg	Forward	31	4-8	2-6	4-6	5	0	2	2	14
Braden Huff	F	15	5-8	0-2	2-2	3	0	1	0	12
Ryan Nembhard	Guard	40	1-7	0-3	4-4	5	9	1	0	6
Dusty Stromer	G	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Luka Krajnovic	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Reed Sheppard	Guard	28	8-14	0-3	5-5	5	3	2	2	21
Antonio Reeves	Guard	31	6-13	1-2	4-5	1	1	1	1	17
Adou Thiero	Forward	32	6-11	1-2	2-2	5	2	1	3	15
Justin Edwards	Forward	29	3-8	1-3	1-2	5	0	2	0	8
Zvonimir Ivisic	F	11	1-3	1-1	4-4	3	0	0	1	7
Rob Dillingham	Guard	18	2-6	2-3	0-0	2	3	1	0	6
Ugonna Onyenso	C	19	0-0	0-0	3-4	2	0	0	3	3
DJ Wagner	G	14	1-4	0-2	1-2	0	1	1	0	3
Aaron Bradshaw	F	11	1-2	0-1	1-2	2	0	0	0	3
Jordan Burks	F	7	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

70.9Possessions70.9

125.5Offensive Efficiency119.9

119.9Defensive Efficiency125.5

5.6Net Efficiency-5.6

50.0%Effective FG%50.8%

56.0%True Shooting %57.2%

14.0%Turnover Rate11.4%

35.3%Free Throw Rate45.9%

26.5%3-Point Rate27.9%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Gonzaga won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 70.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.