Creighton

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.5%Creighton

59.5%Xavier

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADXavier -2.8

PROJECTED TOTAL157.9

MODEL MONEYLINEXavier -147

Xavier

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCreighton 78

Projected Total157.9

Projected ScoreXavier 80

Team Comparison

CreightonMetricXavier

50.6MMH Power Index49.5

109.0Offensive Efficiency109.2

109.5Defensive Efficiency112.4

-0.5Net Efficiency-3.2

5.1Strength of Schedule5.6

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.4

68.9Tempo71.7

53.0%Effective FG%51.7%

16.6%Turnover Rate13.9%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %26.2%

29.0%Free Throw Rate28.9%

-0.3Average Margin-2.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Creighton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCreighton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.6–49.5), defensive efficiency (109.5–112.4), net efficiency (-0.5–-3.2), recent form (-5.2–-7.4).

Xavier COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.2–109.0), strength of schedule (5.6–5.1), ball security (13.9–16.6).

Final

Creighton

78—71

Xavier

Creighton by 7 • 74.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CreightonTEAM STATXavier

31-64FG28-66

48.4%FG%42.4%

7-283PT6-13

25.0%3PT%46.2%

9-11FT9-11

81.8%FT%81.8%

37Rebounds33

6Offensive Rebounds7

23Assists19

11Turnovers11

5Steals7

5Blocks6

13Fouls15

Player Box Score

Creighton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Kalkbrenner	Center	38	12-14	0-0	4-5	7	1	0	4	28
Baylor Scheierman	Forward	39	7-16	2-8	0-0	12	8	1	0	16
Steven Ashworth	Guard	40	3-11	1-8	5-6	4	9	1	0	12
Trey Alexander	Guard	40	5-15	0-4	0-0	9	5	2	1	10
Mason Miller	F	20	3-3	3-3	0-0	3	0	1	0	9
Francisco Farabello	Guard	17	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jasen Green	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Isaac Traudt	F	2	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Xavier

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Desmond Claude	G	40	9-17	1-3	3-3	1	3	1	1	22
Dayvion McKnight	Guard	38	8-17	3-5	2-2	8	5	1	0	21
Quincy Olivari	Guard	35	6-15	2-5	4-6	7	5	4	0	18
Dailyn Swain	G	17	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	1	4
Trey Green	G	12	2-5	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Abou Ousmane	Forward	19	1-7	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	2	2
Gytis Nemeiksa	F	18	0-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	0
Lazar Djokovic	F	12	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	1	0
Sasa Ciani	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.7Possessions74.7

104.4Offensive Efficiency95.0

95.0Defensive Efficiency104.4

9.4Net Efficiency-9.4

53.9%Effective FG%47.0%

56.3%True Shooting %49.8%

14.8%Turnover Rate14.6%

17.2%Free Throw Rate16.7%

43.8%3-Point Rate19.7%

2.09Assist / Turnover1.73

Game Summary

Creighton won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 74.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.