Boise State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.1%Boise State

76.9%Utah State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -9.4

PROJECTED TOTAL154.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -333

Utah State

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 73

Projected Total154.8

Projected ScoreUtah State 82

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricUtah State

59.5MMH Power Index65.7

113.9Offensive Efficiency119.7

107.1Defensive Efficiency103.1

6.8Net Efficiency16.6

4.2Strength of Schedule3.5

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

68.6Tempo68.6

52.7%Effective FG%56.9%

17.0%Turnover Rate15.1%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

42.7%Free Throw Rate39.1%

4.7Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–59.5), offensive efficiency (119.7–113.9), defensive efficiency (103.1–107.1), net efficiency (16.6–6.8).

Boise State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (4.2–3.5), recent form (5.2–0.3), offensive rebounding (33.8–33.0).

Final

Boise State

61—80

Utah State

Utah State by 19 • 66.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boise StateTEAM STATUtah State

21-59FG29-56

35.6%FG%51.8%

7-293PT9-21

24.1%3PT%42.9%

12-17FT13-20

70.6%FT%65.0%

36Rebounds35

12Offensive Rebounds6

9Assists20

10Turnovers8

1Steals5

1Blocks5

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	36	5-13	1-6	6-7	8	2	0	0	17
Max Rice	Guard	32	4-11	4-8	0-0	5	2	0	0	12
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	25	5-7	1-3	0-2	4	0	0	1	11
Roddie Anderson	G	26	2-7	1-5	1-2	2	1	1	0	6
Cam Martin	Forward	12	2-4	0-1	2-2	3	2	0	0	6
Chibuzo Agbo	Guard	32	2-9	0-3	1-2	4	2	0	0	5
Jace Whiting	G	14	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Andrew Meadow	F	13	0-2	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Kobe Young	Guard	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
R.J. Keene II	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mason Falslev	G	36	10-13	3-5	2-5	4	3	1	0	25
Darius Brown II	Guard	34	6-8	3-4	3-3	9	5	1	0	18
Isaac Johnson	C	16	5-8	2-5	2-2	3	1	0	0	14
Great Osobor	Forward	40	4-11	0-0	2-5	10	4	2	2	10
Ian Martinez	Guard	37	2-11	1-5	4-5	1	2	0	1	9
Josh Uduje	Guard	19	1-4	0-2	0-0	3	3	0	2	2
Kalifa Sakho	F	15	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	2
Karson Templin	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.3Possessions66.3

92.0Offensive Efficiency120.7

120.7Defensive Efficiency92.0

-28.7Net Efficiency28.7

41.5%Effective FG%59.8%

45.5%True Shooting %61.1%

15.4%Turnover Rate11.9%

28.8%Free Throw Rate35.7%

49.2%3-Point Rate37.5%

0.90Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Utah State won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 66.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.