Auburn

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.5%Auburn

64.5%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -5.9

PROJECTED TOTAL160.1

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -182

North Carolina

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAuburn 77

Projected Total160.1

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 83

Team Comparison

AuburnMetricNorth Carolina

64.4MMH Power Index65.2

118.8Offensive Efficiency115.5

113.0Defensive Efficiency103.8

5.8Net Efficiency11.7

7.5Strength of Schedule7.6

8.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

69.8Tempo69.0

53.1%Effective FG%54.6%

14.5%Turnover Rate13.9%

36.5%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

43.8%Free Throw Rate38.1%

4.1Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–64.4), defensive efficiency (103.8–113.0), net efficiency (11.7–5.8), strength of schedule (7.6–7.5).

Auburn COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.8–115.5), recent form (8.0–-1.8), offensive rebounding (36.5–31.1).

Final

Auburn

85—72

North Carolina

Auburn by 13 • 74.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AuburnTEAM STATNorth Carolina

30-69FG27-62

43.0%FG%44.0%

11-303PT6-16

37.0%3PT%38.0%

14-17FT12-19

82.0%FT%63.0%

42Rebounds36

11Offensive Rebounds7

15Assists7

8Turnovers10

7Steals3

7Blocks2

22Fouls16

Player Box Score

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Johni Broome	Forward	34	9-18	2-4	3-4	19	5	0	3	23
Miles Kelly	Guard	21	5-10	3-7	2-2	2	0	0	0	15
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	28	4-8	2-6	4-4	7	0	1	0	14
Chaney Johnson	Forward	33	5-10	0-1	1-1	8	3	0	2	11
Denver Jones	Guard	30	2-9	2-5	4-6	0	3	2	0	10
Tahaad Pettiford	G	20	4-10	2-5	0-0	2	3	1	0	10
Dylan Cardwell	Center	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	2	2
Chris Moore	Forward	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	2	0	0
JP Pegues	Guard	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Seth Trimble	G	35	7-13	3-6	0-2	1	1	1	0	17
RJ Davis	Guard	36	5-11	1-4	1-1	5	1	0	0	12
Elliot Cadeau	G	30	5-15	0-0	0-1	6	3	1	0	10
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	23	4-6	0-0	2-2	9	0	0	1	10
Jae'Lyn Withers	Forward	20	1-4	1-2	7-8	7	0	0	0	10
Ian Jackson	G	17	3-7	1-3	2-2	3	0	0	0	9
Drake Powell	Guard	21	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	2
Jalen Washington	C	17	1-4	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	1	2
Cade Tyson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.1Possessions74.1

114.7Offensive Efficiency97.2

97.2Defensive Efficiency114.7

17.5Net Efficiency-17.5

51.4%Effective FG%48.4%

55.1%True Shooting %50.7%

10.8%Turnover Rate13.5%

24.6%Free Throw Rate30.6%

43.5%3-Point Rate25.8%

1.88Assist / Turnover0.70

Game Summary

Auburn won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 74.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.