UCF

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.6%UCF

81.4%Texas Tech

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas Tech -10.4

PROJECTED TOTAL159.6

MODEL MONEYLINETexas Tech -438

Texas Tech

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUCF 75

Projected Total159.6

Projected ScoreTexas Tech 85

Team Comparison

UCFMetricTexas Tech

57.1MMH Power Index65.8

113.3Offensive Efficiency117.8

110.0Defensive Efficiency107.2

3.3Net Efficiency10.6

6.6Strength of Schedule9.4

-3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency0.9

71.2Tempo68.1

53.0%Effective FG%56.4%

16.0%Turnover Rate15.8%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

31.1%Free Throw Rate28.2%

2.4Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas Tech HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas Tech holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.8–57.1), offensive efficiency (117.8–113.3), defensive efficiency (107.2–110.0), net efficiency (10.6–3.3).

UCF COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (34.3–32.6), free throw rate (31.1–28.2).

Final

UCF

59—66

Texas Tech

Texas Tech by 7 • 63.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UCFTEAM STATTexas Tech

23-63FG23-60

36.5%FG%38.3%

5-243PT7-21

20.8%3PT%33.3%

8-12FT13-15

66.7%FT%86.7%

37Rebounds44

12Offensive Rebounds14

11Assists14

8Turnovers10

5Steals5

2Blocks2

17Fouls11

Player Box Score

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darius Johnson	Guard	34	4-13	1-5	5-5	2	3	2	0	14
Jaylin Sellers	G	29	5-13	4-6	0-0	2	1	0	0	14
C.J. Walker	Forward	28	5-10	0-1	3-4	8	0	1	0	13
Omar Payne	Forward	15	3-4	0-0	0-2	5	1	0	1	6
Antwann Jones	G	29	2-8	0-4	0-0	3	3	0	0	4
Thierno Sylla	C	23	2-5	0-2	0-0	9	0	1	1	4
Marchelus Avery	Forward	8	2-4	0-2	0-1	3	0	0	0	4
Shemarri Allen	Guard	26	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	3	0	0	0
Nils Machowski	G	6	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Tyler Hendricks	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Texas Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darrion Williams	F	38	6-11	0-2	1-1	13	3	1	0	13
Kerwin Walton	Guard	30	4-5	4-5	0-2	2	0	0	0	12
Joe Toussaint	Guard	31	2-10	1-3	6-6	3	2	3	0	11
Warren Washington	Forward	30	5-8	0-0	0-0	11	2	0	2	10
Pop Isaacs	G	32	2-13	1-5	2-2	5	6	0	0	7
Chance McMillian	Guard	27	2-9	1-6	2-2	4	1	1	0	7
Robert Jennings II	F	11	2-3	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	6
Lamar Washington	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.9Possessions63.9

92.3Offensive Efficiency103.3

103.3Defensive Efficiency92.3

-11.0Net Efficiency11.0

40.5%Effective FG%44.2%

42.9%True Shooting %49.2%

12.4%Turnover Rate15.8%

19.0%Free Throw Rate25.0%

38.1%3-Point Rate35.0%

1.38Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

Texas Tech won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 63.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.