Wake Forest

18-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.9%Wake Forest

96.1%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -22.0

PROJECTED TOTAL152.7

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -2464

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWake Forest 65

Projected Total152.7

Projected ScoreDuke 87

Team Comparison

Wake ForestMetricDuke

57.6MMH Power Index81.7

112.4Offensive Efficiency122.2

109.7Defensive Efficiency95.2

2.7Net Efficiency27.0

7.2Strength of Schedule7.8

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

70.2Tempo66.8

52.8%Effective FG%56.9%

15.5%Turnover Rate15.9%

30.0%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

36.1%Free Throw Rate39.0%

1.9Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–57.6), offensive efficiency (122.2–112.4), defensive efficiency (95.2–109.7), net efficiency (27.0–2.7).

Wake Forest COUNTERS WITHball security (15.5–15.9).

Final

Wake Forest

69—77

Duke

Duke by 8 • 69.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Wake ForestTEAM STATDuke

27-69FG26-55

39.1%FG%47.3%

6-263PT7-25

23.1%3PT%28.0%

9-13FT18-25

69.2%FT%72.0%

37Rebounds41

15Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists14

9Turnovers13

9Steals4

4Blocks4

21Fouls17

Player Box Score

Wake Forest

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hunter Sallis	Guard	38	10-20	2-5	0-2	5	4	0	1	22
Andrew Carr	Forward	28	6-9	0-0	0-0	5	1	1	0	12
Parker Friedrichsen	G	23	3-6	2-5	2-2	1	0	1	0	10
Efton Reid III	Forward	15	3-6	0-1	2-2	4	3	1	0	8
Cameron Hildreth	Guard	34	1-9	0-3	4-6	6	0	3	0	6
Damari Monsanto	Guard	23	2-10	2-9	0-0	4	0	2	1	6
Boopie Miller	G	26	1-7	0-3	1-1	7	3	1	0	3
Matthew Marsh	Center	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2	2

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Mitchell	G	38	9-14	1-2	4-8	8	0	0	2	23
Kyle Filipowski	Forward	38	8-14	1-6	4-7	11	2	1	2	21
Jared McCain	Guard	38	4-10	3-7	6-6	10	4	1	0	17
Jeremy Roach	Guard	30	5-8	2-4	0-0	2	5	1	0	12
Caleb Foster	G	26	0-4	0-2	4-4	0	1	1	0	4
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	25	0-5	0-4	0-0	4	2	0	0	0
Sean Stewart	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ryan Young	Center	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jaylen Blakes	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.1Possessions69.1

99.9Offensive Efficiency111.4

111.4Defensive Efficiency99.9

-11.6Net Efficiency11.6

43.5%Effective FG%53.6%

45.9%True Shooting %57.6%

13.0%Turnover Rate18.9%

18.8%Free Throw Rate45.5%

37.7%3-Point Rate45.5%

1.22Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Duke won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 69.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.