North Carolina

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

71.9%North Carolina

28.1%Syracuse

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -4.9

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -256

Syracuse

15-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 79

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreSyracuse 74

Team Comparison

North CarolinaMetricSyracuse

65.2MMH Power Index52.2

115.5Offensive Efficiency109.2

103.8Defensive Efficiency106.6

11.7Net Efficiency2.6

7.6Strength of Schedule5.6

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-15.1

69.0Tempo69.0

54.6%Effective FG%52.9%

13.9%Turnover Rate15.6%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %29.0%

38.1%Free Throw Rate36.2%

8.1Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–52.2), offensive efficiency (115.5–109.2), defensive efficiency (103.8–106.6), net efficiency (11.7–2.6).

Final

North Carolina

79—86

Syracuse

Syracuse by 7 • 64.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North CarolinaTEAM STATSyracuse

29-61FG30-48

47.5%FG%62.5%

12-273PT8-17

44.4%3PT%47.1%

9-11FT18-25

81.8%FT%72.0%

31Rebounds23

13Offensive Rebounds3

19Assists11

11Turnovers8

4Steals10

1Blocks1

20Fouls11

Player Box Score

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RJ Davis	Guard	37	7-17	4-11	1-1	0	3	1	0	19
Cormac Ryan	Guard	40	6-14	4-9	2-2	2	3	0	0	18
Harrison Ingram	Forward	33	6-11	2-5	0-0	11	2	3	0	14
Armando Bacot	Forward	30	5-9	0-0	4-4	10	2	0	1	14
Jalen Washington	F	10	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Elliot Cadeau	G	32	1-4	1-1	1-2	1	9	0	0	4
Jae'Lyn Withers	Forward	7	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Seth Trimble	G	11	0-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1

Syracuse

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Judah Mintz	Guard	40	8-11	0-1	9-11	5	4	3	0	25
J.J. Starling	G	40	9-15	3-6	2-2	3	0	1	0	23
Maliq Brown	F	34	4-4	2-2	4-6	6	4	2	1	14
Chris Bell	F	36	5-11	3-7	0-0	3	0	0	0	13
Quadir Copeland	G	23	3-6	0-1	2-4	3	2	3	0	8
Justin Taylor	G	21	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	1	1	0	3
Mounir Hima	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.6Possessions64.6

122.3Offensive Efficiency133.1

133.1Defensive Efficiency122.3

-10.8Net Efficiency10.8

57.4%Effective FG%70.8%

59.6%True Shooting %71.8%

17.1%Turnover Rate12.3%

18.0%Free Throw Rate52.1%

44.3%3-Point Rate35.4%

1.73Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

Syracuse won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 64.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.