Iowa State

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

74.9%Iowa State

25.1%Cincinnati

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -6.6

PROJECTED TOTAL144.5

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -298

Cincinnati

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIowa State 76

Projected Total144.5

Projected ScoreCincinnati 69

Team Comparison

Iowa StateMetricCincinnati

75.9MMH Power Index61.5

119.3Offensive Efficiency105.3

96.0Defensive Efficiency97.3

23.3Net Efficiency8.0

4.9Strength of Schedule5.1

17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency14.4

68.4Tempo69.4

56.1%Effective FG%50.6%

15.0%Turnover Rate17.0%

35.5%Offensive Rebound %30.6%

35.2%Free Throw Rate30.7%

15.9Average Margin5.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–61.5), offensive efficiency (119.3–105.3), defensive efficiency (96.0–97.3), net efficiency (23.3–8.0).

Cincinnati COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.1–4.9).

Final

Iowa State

68—59

Cincinnati

Iowa State by 9 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Iowa StateTEAM STATCincinnati

28-59FG19-50

47.5%FG%38.0%

5-183PT9-23

27.8%3PT%39.1%

7-8FT12-17

87.5%FT%70.6%

24Rebounds38

8Offensive Rebounds15

12Assists11

11Turnovers25

12Steals6

1Blocks5

15Fouls14

Player Box Score

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Curtis Jones	Guard	31	6-10	3-6	0-0	4	1	1	0	15
Tamin Lipsey	G	30	5-11	1-4	4-4	2	4	3	0	15
Keshon Gilbert	Guard	35	5-13	1-3	1-2	3	2	1	0	12
Hason Ward	Forward	17	3-6	0-0	0-0	5	2	2	1	6
Tre King	Forward	17	1-6	0-3	2-2	1	0	2	0	4
Milan Momcilovic	F	35	1-5	0-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Jackson Paveletzke	G	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Demarion Watson	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jizzle James	G	25	6-10	4-6	0-0	5	3	0	0	16
Simas Lukosius	Guard	31	4-12	3-9	4-4	1	1	1	0	15
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	32	4-11	2-4	3-4	11	3	2	2	13
Jamille Reynolds	Forward	21	2-4	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	2	5
Day Day Thomas	G	16	2-5	0-2	0-0	0	0	2	0	4
CJ Fredrick Jr.	Guard	16	1-2	0-1	1-1	0	2	0	0	3
John Newman III	Forward	29	0-3	0-1	2-2	6	2	1	0	2
Aziz Bandaogo	Forward	20	0-1	0-0	1-4	7	0	0	1	1
Viktor Lakhin	Center	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Josh Reed	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

101.6Offensive Efficiency88.2

88.2Defensive Efficiency101.6

13.5Net Efficiency-13.5

51.7%Effective FG%47.0%

54.1%True Shooting %50.8%

16.7%Turnover Rate36.7%

13.6%Free Throw Rate34.0%

30.5%3-Point Rate46.0%

1.09Assist / Turnover0.44

Game Summary

Iowa State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.