Michigan

36-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.5%Michigan

50.5%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -0.2

PROJECTED TOTAL157.9

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -102

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan 79

Projected Total157.9

Projected ScoreIllinois 79

Team Comparison

MichiganMetricIllinois

80.9MMH Power Index76.5

122.3Offensive Efficiency125.0

97.0Defensive Efficiency103.3

25.3Net Efficiency21.7

8.7Strength of Schedule6.7

17.2Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

71.8Tempo66.5

58.8%Effective FG%54.8%

16.4%Turnover Rate13.1%

34.6%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

38.9%Free Throw Rate33.8%

18.1Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (80.9–76.5), defensive efficiency (97.0–103.3), net efficiency (25.3–21.7), strength of schedule (8.7–6.7).

Illinois COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (125.0–122.3), ball security (13.1–16.4), offensive rebounding (39.3–34.6).

Final

Michigan

68—97

Illinois

Illinois by 29 • 70.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MichiganTEAM STATIllinois

24-57FG36-64

42.1%FG%56.3%

1-103PT12-25

10.0%3PT%48.0%

19-28FT13-15

67.9%FT%86.7%

29Rebounds38

10Offensive Rebounds9

7Assists17

11Turnovers8

5Steals3

5Blocks3

12Fouls21

Player Box Score

Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrance Williams II	F	30	5-8	0-0	7-9	6	0	2	1	17
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	32	5-14	0-0	3-5	7	0	0	3	13
Olivier Nkamhoua	Forward	30	6-9	0-0	1-2	4	3	0	0	13
Will Tschetter	F	16	3-4	1-1	1-2	3	0	0	0	8
Nimari Burnett	G	28	2-6	0-1	2-2	1	1	1	0	6
Tray Jackson	Not Available	14	2-4	0-1	2-4	0	0	0	1	6
Jaelin Llewellyn	Guard	27	1-7	0-3	2-2	1	2	1	0	4
Ian Burns	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
George Washington III	G	18	0-4	0-3	0-0	3	1	1	0	0
Jackson Selvala	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cooper Smith	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrence Shannon Jr.	Not Available	28	11-15	5-8	4-5	3	3	0	1	31
Coleman Hawkins	Guard	29	6-10	3-6	2-2	5	5	0	2	17
Marcus Domask	Forward	24	5-9	1-2	2-2	2	3	0	0	13
Quincy Guerrier	Forward	21	4-4	2-2	0-0	7	0	0	0	10
Justin Harmon	Guard	22	4-6	0-1	0-0	3	0	2	0	8
Ty Rodgers	G	26	2-5	0-0	2-2	2	3	1	0	6
Dain Dainja	Forward	13	2-4	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	4
Luke Goode	Forward	14	1-3	1-3	0-0	4	2	0	0	3
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	12	1-8	0-3	1-2	2	1	0	0	3
Max Williams	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Niccolo Moretti	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
AJ Redd	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.7Possessions70.7

96.2Offensive Efficiency137.2

137.2Defensive Efficiency96.2

-41.0Net Efficiency41.0

43.0%Effective FG%65.6%

48.4%True Shooting %68.2%

15.4%Turnover Rate11.4%

49.1%Free Throw Rate23.4%

17.5%3-Point Rate39.1%

0.64Assist / Turnover2.13

Game Summary

Illinois won by 29 points. The game played at approximately 70.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.