UCF

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.0%UCF

78.0%BYU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBYU -9.5

PROJECTED TOTAL163.2

MODEL MONEYLINEBYU -355

BYU

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUCF 77

Projected Total163.2

Projected ScoreBYU 86

Team Comparison

UCFMetricBYU

57.1MMH Power Index63.9

113.3Offensive Efficiency118.3

110.0Defensive Efficiency106.8

3.3Net Efficiency11.5

6.6Strength of Schedule6.5

-3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.2

71.2Tempo70.6

53.0%Effective FG%54.7%

16.0%Turnover Rate15.2%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %33.7%

31.1%Free Throw Rate35.4%

2.4Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

BYU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBYU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.9–57.1), offensive efficiency (118.3–113.3), defensive efficiency (106.8–110.0), net efficiency (11.5–3.3).

UCF COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.6–6.5), offensive rebounding (34.3–33.7).

Final

UCF

88—90

BYU

BYU by 2 • 76.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UCFTEAM STATBYU

34-67FG21-47

50.7%FG%44.7%

6-223PT8-23

27.3%3PT%34.8%

14-26FT40-46

53.8%FT%87.0%

32Rebounds37

12Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists12

9Turnovers17

10Steals4

5Blocks2

27Fouls19

Player Box Score

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darius Johnson	Guard	24	6-11	2-4	6-6	1	3	3	0	20
Jaylin Sellers	G	34	7-17	2-8	1-2	2	2	1	0	17
Nils Machowski	G	16	4-7	2-5	1-2	3	1	2	0	11
Shemarri Allen	Guard	23	4-8	0-1	1-4	3	1	2	0	9
Omar Payne	Forward	14	3-4	0-1	1-2	6	0	0	2	7
DeMarr Langford Jr.	Not Available	12	2-3	0-0	3-4	1	0	0	0	7
Antwann Jones	G	19	3-6	0-1	0-1	1	2	1	0	6
Marchelus Avery	Forward	10	2-3	0-1	1-2	2	2	1	0	5
C.J. Walker	Forward	22	2-4	0-1	0-3	3	0	0	2	4
Ibrahima Diallo	Forward	19	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	1	2
Thierno Sylla	C	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

BYU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaxson Robinson	Guard	26	3-7	3-5	12-13	2	0	1	0	21
Noah Waterman	Forward	32	3-5	2-4	9-10	9	1	1	1	17
Trevin Knell	Guard	27	3-7	1-5	10-13	4	0	0	0	17
Dallin Hall	G	28	4-6	1-3	1-1	5	5	1	1	10
Aly Khalifa	C	23	2-5	0-1	4-4	1	1	0	0	8
Spencer Johnson	Guard	28	2-9	0-3	2-2	8	4	1	0	6
Richie Saunders	G	10	2-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Atiki Ally Atiki	Forward	5	2-2	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	4
Fousseyni Traore	Center	11	0-2	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Trey Stewart	Guard	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.7Possessions76.7

114.7Offensive Efficiency117.3

117.3Defensive Efficiency114.7

-2.6Net Efficiency2.6

55.2%Effective FG%53.2%

55.5%True Shooting %65.4%

11.8%Turnover Rate22.1%

38.8%Free Throw Rate97.9%

32.8%3-Point Rate48.9%

1.33Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

BYU won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 76.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.