Tennessee

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.7%Tennessee

64.3%Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -4.2

PROJECTED TOTAL164.0

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -180

Arkansas

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTennessee 80

Projected Total164.0

Projected ScoreArkansas 84

Team Comparison

TennesseeMetricArkansas

68.6MMH Power Index69.3

115.8Offensive Efficiency122.2

102.1Defensive Efficiency109.8

13.7Net Efficiency12.4

7.8Strength of Schedule8.6

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

68.1Tempo73.8

51.6%Effective FG%56.4%

17.3%Turnover Rate12.2%

44.5%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

38.6%Free Throw Rate36.5%

9.3Average Margin9.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–68.6), offensive efficiency (122.2–115.8), strength of schedule (8.6–7.8), recent form (3.4–3.3).

Tennessee COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.1–109.8), net efficiency (13.7–12.4), offensive rebounding (44.5–31.8).

Final

Tennessee

92—63

Arkansas

Tennessee by 29 • 72.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TennesseeTEAM STATArkansas

33-58FG22-58

56.9%FG%37.9%

5-173PT8-23

29.4%3PT%34.8%

21-24FT11-15

87.5%FT%73.3%

36Rebounds25

8Offensive Rebounds9

14Assists9

12Turnovers15

9Steals12

4Blocks3

17Fouls20

Player Box Score

Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jonas Aidoo	Forward	30	11-14	0-0	1-1	12	0	0	0	23
Dalton Knecht	Guard	32	7-14	1-3	7-10	4	2	2	3	22
Jordan Gainey	Guard	18	6-8	2-3	3-3	1	1	2	0	17
Josiah-Jordan James	Guard	25	4-7	1-4	3-3	3	0	1	0	12
Zakai Zeigler	Guard	30	4-8	1-3	0-0	3	6	2	0	9
Santiago Vescovi	Guard	28	0-3	0-3	4-4	6	2	0	0	4
Tobe Awaka	F	10	1-1	0-0	1-1	4	0	1	1	3
Jahmai Mashack	Guard	14	0-2	0-1	2-2	1	1	0	0	2
Cade Phillips	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Freddie Dilione V	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	1	0	0
Cameron Carr	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tramon Mark	G	28	4-10	2-6	2-2	2	1	3	1	12
Davonte Davis	Guard	40	4-9	0-2	0-0	3	4	2	0	8
Jalen Graham	Forward	23	4-9	0-0	0-1	7	2	1	1	8
Jeremiah Davenport	Guard	20	3-5	2-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	8
Khalif Battle	Guard	15	2-5	1-3	3-3	1	1	2	0	8
El Ellis	Guard	19	2-5	2-4	0-0	2	1	2	0	6
Keyon Menifield Jr.	Guard	14	2-7	1-3	0-0	4	0	0	1	5
Joseph Pinion	G	3	1-2	0-1	1-1	0	0	0	0	3
Chandler Lawson	Forward	14	0-2	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	0	2
Makhi Mitchell	Forward	11	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Layden Blocker	G	9	0-3	0-0	1-2	0	0	1	0	1
Baye Fall	C	4	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

72.3Possessions72.3

127.2Offensive Efficiency87.1

87.1Defensive Efficiency127.2

40.1Net Efficiency-40.1

61.2%Effective FG%44.8%

66.3%True Shooting %48.4%

16.3%Turnover Rate21.1%

41.4%Free Throw Rate25.9%

29.3%3-Point Rate39.7%

1.17Assist / Turnover0.60

Game Summary

Tennessee won by 29 points. The game played at approximately 72.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.