Alabama

24-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.6%Alabama

77.4%Houston

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHouston -9.5

PROJECTED TOTAL159.9

MODEL MONEYLINEHouston -342

Houston

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama 75

Projected Total159.9

Projected ScoreHouston 85

Team Comparison

AlabamaMetricHouston

69.5MMH Power Index76

121.6Offensive Efficiency118.4

111.2Defensive Efficiency95.9

10.4Net Efficiency22.5

9.4Strength of Schedule5.9

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency18.9

74.7Tempo65.2

54.9%Effective FG%52.3%

13.0%Turnover Rate12.9%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %35.3%

36.9%Free Throw Rate26.9%

7.7Average Margin14.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Houston HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHouston holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.0–69.5), defensive efficiency (95.9–111.2), net efficiency (22.5–10.4), recent form (18.9–9.5).

Alabama COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (121.6–118.4), strength of schedule (9.4–5.9), shooting efficiency (54.9–52.3).

Final

Alabama

85—80

Houston

Alabama by 5 • 75.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AlabamaTEAM STATHouston

22-60FG24-65

37.0%FG%37.0%

11-303PT6-19

37.0%3PT%32.0%

30-41FT26-33

73.0%FT%79.0%

48Rebounds39

20Offensive Rebounds16

14Assists8

15Turnovers12

5Steals10

6Blocks10

25Fouls30

Player Box Score

Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Sears	Guard	41	4-13	4-8	12-14	4	3	1	0	24
Aden Holloway	G	26	5-8	2-4	2-2	3	3	0	0	14
Grant Nelson	Forward	40	4-8	1-3	4-6	10	0	2	0	13
Latrell Wrightsell	G	28	3-6	3-6	3-4	0	2	1	0	12
Mouhamed Dioubate	F	28	3-8	0-1	4-4	16	1	1	3	10
Derrion Reid	F	18	2-5	1-4	1-2	1	2	0	1	6
Clifford Omoruyi	Center	17	1-1	0-0	2-4	3	0	0	1	4
Labaron Philon Jr.	G	15	0-9	0-3	1-2	3	2	0	1	1
Jarin Stevenson	F	10	0-1	0-1	1-3	3	1	0	0	1
Aiden Sherrell	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Houston

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
L.J. Cryer	Guard	42	9-26	2-8	10-10	0	2	3	0	30
Emanuel Sharp	G	30	3-11	2-6	6-8	6	1	1	0	14
J'Wan Roberts	Forward	38	3-4	0-0	5-7	1	0	0	2	11
Mylik Wilson	Guard	24	3-9	1-2	0-0	5	1	1	0	7
Terrance Arceneaux	G	21	2-3	0-0	1-2	3	1	2	0	5
Milos Uzan	G	12	2-5	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Mercy Miller	G	8	1-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	4
Joseph Tugler	F	31	1-5	0-2	0-1	8	2	1	8	2
Ja'Vier Francis	Forward	12	0-1	0-0	2-3	2	0	2	0	2
Ramon Walker Jr.	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.6Possessions75.6

112.4Offensive Efficiency105.8

105.8Defensive Efficiency112.4

6.6Net Efficiency-6.6

45.8%Effective FG%41.5%

53.5%True Shooting %49.6%

20.1%Turnover Rate15.7%

68.3%Free Throw Rate50.8%

50.0%3-Point Rate29.2%

0.93Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Alabama won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 75.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.