Minnesota

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.6%Minnesota

95.4%Purdue

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPurdue -19.5

PROJECTED TOTAL145.7

MODEL MONEYLINEPurdue -2074

Purdue

30-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMinnesota 63

Projected Total145.7

Projected ScorePurdue 83

Team Comparison

MinnesotaMetricPurdue

50.5MMH Power Index73.2

109.1Offensive Efficiency124.8

107.7Defensive Efficiency107.8

1.4Net Efficiency17.0

3.2Strength of Schedule7.6

-6.6Last 10 Net Efficiency11.8

63.6Tempo65.4

54.1%Effective FG%57.8%

16.5%Turnover Rate13.7%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %36.2%

36.9%Free Throw Rate29.1%

0.9Average Margin11.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Purdue HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPurdue holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (73.2–50.5), offensive efficiency (124.8–109.1), net efficiency (17.0–1.4), strength of schedule (7.6–3.2).

Minnesota COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.7–107.8), free throw rate (36.9–29.1).

Final

Minnesota

76—84

Purdue

Purdue by 8 • 65.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MinnesotaTEAM STATPurdue

26-59FG28-59

44.1%FG%47.5%

12-253PT9-19

48.0%3PT%47.4%

12-16FT19-32

75.0%FT%59.4%

27Rebounds44

7Offensive Rebounds17

19Assists21

5Turnovers10

5Steals5

3Blocks1

20Fouls13

Player Box Score

Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dawson Garcia	Forward	32	7-12	3-5	7-8	3	2	1	1	24
Mike Mitchell Jr.	Guard	37	4-13	4-8	2-2	3	2	1	0	14
Cam Christie	Guard	38	5-11	3-5	0-0	3	3	1	0	13
Pharrel Payne	F	26	4-8	0-1	0-2	5	4	0	1	8
Elijah Hawkins	Guard	31	1-8	1-5	2-2	2	7	1	0	5
Parker Fox	Forward	12	2-2	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	0	5
Braeden Carrington	G	15	1-2	1-1	0-0	4	0	1	1	3
Joshua Ola-Joseph	F	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Jack Wilson	Center	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Purdue

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zach Edey	Center	29	8-18	0-0	8-14	15	2	0	1	24
Braden Smith	G	38	5-7	2-2	4-4	8	9	4	0	16
Mason Gillis	Forward	21	5-9	4-8	0-0	4	3	1	0	14
Lance Jones	Guard	33	4-9	2-6	2-2	1	2	0	0	12
Trey Kaufman-Renn	F	19	3-7	1-2	2-6	8	2	0	0	9
Caleb Furst	Forward	11	2-2	0-0	2-3	3	0	0	0	6
Fletcher Loyer	G	25	1-5	0-1	1-3	1	1	0	0	3
Ethan Morton	Guard	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Camden Heide	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Myles Colvin	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.9Possessions65.9

115.3Offensive Efficiency127.5

127.5Defensive Efficiency115.3

-12.1Net Efficiency12.1

54.2%Effective FG%55.1%

57.1%True Shooting %56.6%

7.7%Turnover Rate14.9%

27.1%Free Throw Rate54.2%

42.4%3-Point Rate32.2%

3.80Assist / Turnover2.10

Game Summary

Purdue won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 65.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.