VCU

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.0%VCU

65.0%Saint Louis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Louis -7.0

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Louis -186

Saint Louis

29-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVCU 76

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreSaint Louis 83

Team Comparison

VCUMetricSaint Louis

65.7MMH Power Index66.7

116.4Offensive Efficiency120.8

103.3Defensive Efficiency97.6

13.1Net Efficiency23.2

5.4Strength of Schedule0.3

6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency0.1

69.5Tempo72.2

53.7%Effective FG%59.9%

15.1%Turnover Rate17.1%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

42.9%Free Throw Rate33.9%

9.1Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Louis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Louis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–65.7), offensive efficiency (120.8–116.4), defensive efficiency (97.6–103.3), net efficiency (23.2–13.1).

VCU COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.4–0.3), recent form (6.0–0.1), ball security (15.1–17.1).

Final

VCU

95—85

Saint Louis

VCU by 10 • 72.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VCUTEAM STATSaint Louis

28-57FG27-57

49.1%FG%47.4%

12-263PT8-23

46.2%3PT%34.8%

27-31FT23-30

87.1%FT%76.7%

39Rebounds24

14Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists14

14Turnovers10

5Steals10

4Blocks3

21Fouls23

Player Box Score

VCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joe Bamisile	Guard	25	7-13	5-9	8-9	3	0	0	1	27
Max Shulga	Guard	35	6-11	4-8	10-11	6	3	1	0	26
Sean Bairstow	Guard	35	5-11	1-3	3-4	6	5	0	0	14
Zeb Jackson	Guard	26	3-7	1-3	2-2	2	3	1	1	9
Kuany Kuany	Forward	18	2-5	1-2	2-2	3	0	1	1	7
Tobi Lawal	F	25	2-3	0-0	1-2	10	0	2	1	5
Christian Fermin	F	11	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Michael Belle	F	13	1-3	0-0	1-1	3	2	0	0	3
Jason Nelson	G	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Saint Louis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sincere Parker	G	36	10-16	4-6	6-9	3	2	4	1	30
Terrence Hargrove Jr.	Forward	35	7-15	1-5	3-4	4	0	0	1	18
Gibson Jimerson	Guard	33	4-10	2-6	3-3	1	1	1	0	13
Bradley Ezewiro	Forward	17	2-3	0-0	9-11	4	0	0	1	13
Kellen Thames	G	17	3-6	1-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	9
Stef van Bussel	C	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Larry Hughes II	G	29	0-5	0-5	0-1	4	5	4	0	0
Cian Medley	G	21	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	5	0	0	0
Bruce Zhang	Center	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Djordje Curcic	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.5Possessions72.5

131.0Offensive Efficiency117.2

117.2Defensive Efficiency131.0

13.8Net Efficiency-13.8

59.6%Effective FG%54.4%

66.2%True Shooting %59.6%

19.5%Turnover Rate13.7%

54.4%Free Throw Rate52.6%

45.6%3-Point Rate40.4%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

VCU won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 72.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.