Niagara

8-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.9%Niagara

89.1%Fairfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFairfield -14.7

PROJECTED TOTAL140.1

MODEL MONEYLINEFairfield -817

Fairfield

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNiagara 63

Projected Total140.1

Projected ScoreFairfield 77

Team Comparison

NiagaraMetricFairfield

35.8MMH Power Index50.1

100.8Offensive Efficiency109.6

112.4Defensive Efficiency105.4

-11.6Net Efficiency4.2

-0.8Strength of Schedule-3.4

-5.6Last 10 Net Efficiency3.3

63.4Tempo67.8

50.9%Effective FG%49.1%

18.8%Turnover Rate15.0%

24.9%Offensive Rebound %36.0%

27.3%Free Throw Rate28.4%

-7.4Average Margin2.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fairfield HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFairfield holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.1–35.8), offensive efficiency (109.6–100.8), defensive efficiency (105.4–112.4), net efficiency (4.2–-11.6).

Niagara COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.8–-3.4), shooting efficiency (50.9–49.1).

Final

Niagara

65—63

Fairfield

Niagara by 2 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NiagaraTEAM STATFairfield

26-50FG20-55

52.0%FG%36.4%

5-203PT7-19

25.0%3PT%36.8%

8-11FT16-22

72.7%FT%72.7%

33Rebounds29

5Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists7

18Turnovers11

3Steals10

2Blocks—

15Fouls14

Player Box Score

Niagara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ahmad Henderson II	G	29	6-13	2-7	1-2	3	1	0	0	15
Kwane Marble	Guard	29	5-8	0-1	4-5	7	1	1	0	14
Luke Bumbalough	Guard	37	3-10	3-9	2-2	4	5	0	0	11
Harlan Obioha	C	33	5-6	0-0	1-2	10	2	0	1	11
Dre Bullock	G	35	5-6	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	1	10
Braxton Bayless	G	21	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	3	2	0	4
Randy Tucker	Guard	10	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Aime Rutayisire	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Lance Erving	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jalen Leach	Not Available	40	4-12	2-3	4-5	1	1	2	14
Caleb Fields	Guard	38	5-17	2-8	1-2	1	1	2	13
Jasper Floyd	G	36	4-8	1-1	3-3	7	3	3	12
James Johns Jr.	Guard	23	2-5	0-1	4-4	1	1	0	8
Birima Seck	Forward	7	0-0	0-0	1-2	4	0	1	1
Peyton Smith	F	5	0-2	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	1
Louis Bleechmore	Guard	15	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0
Brycen Goodine	Guard	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

95.0Offensive Efficiency92.1

92.1Defensive Efficiency95.0

2.9Net Efficiency-2.9

57.0%Effective FG%42.7%

58.9%True Shooting %48.1%

26.4%Turnover Rate16.1%

22.0%Free Throw Rate40.0%

40.0%3-Point Rate34.5%

0.78Assist / Turnover0.64

Game Summary

Niagara won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.