Ohio

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.3%Ohio

84.7%Toledo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -11.7

PROJECTED TOTAL160.7

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -554

Toledo

19-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOhio 75

Projected Total160.7

Projected ScoreToledo 86

Team Comparison

OhioMetricToledo

48MMH Power Index58.8

109.7Offensive Efficiency116.0

110.7Defensive Efficiency109.6

-1.0Net Efficiency6.4

-0.1Strength of Schedule2.3

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency10.2

71.0Tempo69.8

52.0%Effective FG%55.1%

15.3%Turnover Rate14.6%

28.9%Offensive Rebound %30.4%

37.8%Free Throw Rate30.3%

-0.7Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–48.0), offensive efficiency (116.0–109.7), defensive efficiency (109.6–110.7), net efficiency (6.4–-1.0).

Ohio COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (37.8–30.3).

Final

Ohio

83—85

Toledo

Toledo by 2 • 70.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OhioTEAM STATToledo

27-57FG32-66

47.4%FG%48.5%

12-253PT8-17

48.0%3PT%47.1%

17-22FT13-16

77.3%FT%81.3%

29Rebounds40

6Offensive Rebounds12

16Assists18

8Turnovers9

8Steals4

5Blocks1

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

Ohio

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Clayton	Forward	29	7-13	5-8	3-4	5	0	1	2	22
Jaylin Hunter	Guard	33	5-10	4-6	2-2	5	6	2	1	16
Miles Brown	Guard	35	2-4	1-2	7-9	2	0	3	0	12
Aidan Hadaway	F	31	3-7	1-2	2-2	8	4	1	2	9
Elmore James IV	G	18	4-6	0-1	1-1	0	1	1	0	9
Shereef Mitchell	Guard	28	3-10	0-3	1-2	3	4	0	0	7
Ajay Sheldon	G	15	1-4	1-3	1-2	0	1	0	0	4
Gabe Wiznitzer	Center	11	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dante Maddox Jr.	Guard	37	8-14	3-7	2-2	3	6	1	0	21
Ra'Heim Moss	Guard	37	6-11	1-2	3-4	8	1	2	0	16
Javan Simmons	F	33	5-10	0-0	3-4	16	4	0	1	13
Tyler Cochran	G	33	5-15	3-6	0-1	8	0	1	0	13
Sonny Wilson	G	33	5-10	0-0	2-2	1	4	0	0	12
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	14	1-2	1-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	5
Bryce Ford	G	3	1-1	0-0	1-1	0	0	0	0	3
Sam Lewis	G	10	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	3	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

70.1Possessions70.1

118.4Offensive Efficiency121.3

121.3Defensive Efficiency118.4

-2.9Net Efficiency2.9

57.9%Effective FG%54.5%

61.5%True Shooting %57.7%

11.5%Turnover Rate12.7%

38.6%Free Throw Rate24.2%

43.9%3-Point Rate25.8%

2.00Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Toledo won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 70.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.