New Mexico

26-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.3%New Mexico

52.7%San Diego State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -1.5

PROJECTED TOTAL152.3

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -111

San Diego State

22-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Mexico 75

Projected Total152.3

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 77

Team Comparison

New MexicoMetricSan Diego State

63.7MMH Power Index60.1

114.8Offensive Efficiency110.3

100.2Defensive Efficiency99.3

14.6Net Efficiency11.0

2.0Strength of Schedule3.8

8.3Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

70.7Tempo70.8

53.7%Effective FG%53.2%

14.8%Turnover Rate17.2%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

36.5%Free Throw Rate39.6%

10.3Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.7–60.1), offensive efficiency (114.8–110.3), net efficiency (14.6–11.0), recent form (8.3–0.4).

San Diego State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.3–100.2), strength of schedule (3.8–2.0), offensive rebounding (30.8–30.5).

Final

New Mexico

70—81

San Diego State

San Diego State by 11 • 75.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New MexicoTEAM STATSan Diego State

22-62FG29-51

35.5%FG%56.9%

5-223PT7-17

22.7%3PT%41.2%

21-23FT16-23

91.3%FT%69.6%

33Rebounds32

15Offensive Rebounds7

6Assists20

19Turnovers20

11Steals12

—Blocks6

18Fouls22

Player Box Score

New Mexico

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jaelen House	Guard	33	6-13	3-7	7-9	3	2	4	22
JT Toppin	F	30	7-10	0-0	4-4	10	0	1	18
Donovan Dent	G	32	3-10	0-0	5-5	2	2	3	11
Mustapha Amzil	Forward	30	2-5	1-2	5-5	11	0	1	10
Jemarl Baker Jr.	Guard	18	1-6	1-5	0-0	0	0	0	3
Jamal Mashburn Jr.	Guard	23	1-10	0-6	0-0	2	1	0	2
Nelly Junior Joseph	Center	14	1-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2
Tru Washington	G	14	1-4	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	2
Isaac Mushila	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	2	0
Sebastian Forsling	Center	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaedon LeDee	Forward	34	7-10	1-2	8-11	3	2	4	0	23
Lamont Butler	Guard	28	5-9	1-3	2-2	2	1	3	0	13
Elijah Saunders	F	18	5-8	2-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	12
Reese Waters	Guard	26	3-4	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	0	8
Micah Parrish	Guard	28	3-6	1-3	0-0	3	4	0	0	7
Darrion Trammell	Guard	21	2-5	1-3	2-2	4	4	0	0	7
Jay Pal	Forward	22	2-6	0-1	2-6	7	2	3	0	6
Miles Byrd	G	17	1-2	1-1	0-0	2	6	1	4	3
Miles Heide	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	2	2

Advanced Game Stats

75.9Possessions75.9

92.2Offensive Efficiency106.7

106.7Defensive Efficiency92.2

-14.5Net Efficiency14.5

39.5%Effective FG%63.7%

48.0%True Shooting %65.4%

24.7%Turnover Rate26.7%

37.1%Free Throw Rate45.1%

35.5%3-Point Rate33.3%

0.32Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 75.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.