Duke

35-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

88.6%Duke

11.4%Florida State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -13.2

PROJECTED TOTAL154.1

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -777

Florida State

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDuke 84

Projected Total154.1

Projected ScoreFlorida State 70

Team Comparison

DukeMetricFlorida State

81.7MMH Power Index58.7

122.2Offensive Efficiency111.9

95.2Defensive Efficiency108.5

27.0Net Efficiency3.4

7.8Strength of Schedule5.7

18.7Last 10 Net Efficiency7.6

66.8Tempo71.8

56.9%Effective FG%52.4%

15.9%Turnover Rate15.2%

38.2%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

39.0%Free Throw Rate35.2%

18.0Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–58.7), offensive efficiency (122.2–111.9), defensive efficiency (95.2–108.5), net efficiency (27.0–3.4).

Florida State COUNTERS WITHball security (15.2–15.9).

Final

Duke

76—67

Florida State

Duke by 9 • 67.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DukeTEAM STATFlorida State

26-56FG28-57

46.4%FG%49.1%

10-163PT4-14

62.5%3PT%28.6%

14-20FT7-11

70.0%FT%63.6%

36Rebounds27

15Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists11

17Turnovers14

8Steals9

1Blocks9

13Fouls17

Player Box Score

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jared McCain	Guard	39	12-20	8-11	3-4	4	1	3	0	35
Jeremy Roach	Guard	36	5-12	2-4	5-6	2	4	1	0	17
Kyle Filipowski	Forward	28	3-7	0-0	2-2	8	1	0	0	8
Mark Mitchell	G	34	3-7	0-0	1-5	4	0	0	0	7
Jaylen Blakes	Guard	10	1-1	0-0	3-3	0	0	1	0	5
Caleb Foster	G	35	2-7	0-1	0-0	4	4	0	0	4
Ryan Young	Center	14	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	2	1	0
Sean Stewart	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	0

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamir Watkins	Guard	28	7-11	1-4	0-1	2	3	2	4	15
Cameron Corhen	F	23	7-10	0-0	0-1	9	0	0	1	14
Darin Green Jr.	Guard	34	3-10	2-4	0-0	3	0	1	0	8
Baba Miller	F	18	3-5	0-1	2-2	3	0	2	1	8
Chandler Jackson	G	16	3-5	1-2	1-1	0	1	0	0	8
Primo Spears	Guard	14	3-6	0-1	1-2	0	1	1	0	7
Jalen Warley	G	26	1-5	0-0	2-2	1	5	3	1	4
Taylor Bol Bowen	F	18	1-2	0-1	0-0	5	0	0	1	2
Jaylan Gainey	Forward	14	0-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	1	1
Josh Nickelberry	Guard	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
De'Ante Green	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.4Possessions67.4

112.8Offensive Efficiency99.4

99.4Defensive Efficiency112.8

13.4Net Efficiency-13.4

55.4%Effective FG%52.6%

58.0%True Shooting %53.8%

25.2%Turnover Rate20.8%

35.7%Free Throw Rate19.3%

28.6%3-Point Rate24.6%

0.65Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

Duke won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 67.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.