Illinois

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

95.7%Illinois

4.3%Maryland

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -19.5

PROJECTED TOTAL150.3

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -2226

Maryland

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois 85

Projected Total150.3

Projected ScoreMaryland 65

Team Comparison

IllinoisMetricMaryland

76.5MMH Power Index44.1

125.0Offensive Efficiency104.5

103.3Defensive Efficiency113.6

21.7Net Efficiency-9.1

6.7Strength of Schedule5.2

12.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.7

66.5Tempo66.7

54.8%Effective FG%48.6%

13.1%Turnover Rate18.8%

39.3%Offensive Rebound %34.0%

33.8%Free Throw Rate38.9%

14.5Average Margin-6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–44.1), offensive efficiency (125.0–104.5), defensive efficiency (103.3–113.6), net efficiency (21.7–-9.1).

Maryland COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (38.9–33.8).

Final

Illinois

85—80

Maryland

Illinois by 5 • 69.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IllinoisTEAM STATMaryland

24-50FG26-63

48.0%FG%41.3%

5-203PT4-18

25.0%3PT%22.2%

32-36FT24-29

88.9%FT%82.8%

33Rebounds38

5Offensive Rebounds14

9Assists9

9Turnovers6

2Steals3

4Blocks4

22Fouls25

Player Box Score

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrence Shannon Jr.	Not Available	39	6-16	1-7	14-16	1	1	1	4	27
Marcus Domask	Forward	38	7-14	1-2	4-5	12	3	0	0	19
Coleman Hawkins	Guard	37	4-6	1-3	5-5	7	2	1	0	14
Justin Harmon	Guard	26	3-6	1-3	3-3	3	1	0	0	10
Quincy Guerrier	Forward	19	2-5	1-4	4-5	1	0	0	0	9
Ty Rodgers	G	29	1-1	0-0	2-2	5	2	0	0	4
Dain Dainja	Forward	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Luke Goode	Forward	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Amani Hansberry	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Maryland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jahmir Young	Guard	38	8-23	1-4	11-11	9	6	1	0	28
Julian Reese	Forward	38	6-8	0-0	6-7	11	1	0	0	18
Donta Scott	Forward	34	5-11	1-5	6-7	5	0	0	2	17
DeShawn Harris-Smith	G	35	4-11	0-4	0-1	4	1	2	0	8
Jahari Long	G	12	2-6	1-3	0-1	0	0	0	1	5
Jamie Kaiser Jr.	F	29	1-3	1-2	1-2	2	0	0	0	4
Mady Traore	F	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Caelum Swanton-Rodger	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.9Possessions69.9

121.6Offensive Efficiency114.4

114.4Defensive Efficiency121.6

7.2Net Efficiency-7.2

53.0%Effective FG%44.4%

63.3%True Shooting %52.1%

12.7%Turnover Rate8.7%

72.0%Free Throw Rate46.0%

40.0%3-Point Rate28.6%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Illinois won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 69.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.