Wake Forest

18-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.6%Wake Forest

85.4%Virginia

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia -13.1

PROJECTED TOTAL155.2

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia -585

Virginia

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWake Forest 71

Projected Total155.2

Projected ScoreVirginia 84

Team Comparison

Wake ForestMetricVirginia

57.6MMH Power Index68.9

112.4Offensive Efficiency119.0

109.7Defensive Efficiency101.8

2.7Net Efficiency17.2

7.2Strength of Schedule5.2

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

70.2Tempo67.6

52.8%Effective FG%55.0%

15.5%Turnover Rate16.0%

30.0%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

36.1%Free Throw Rate33.2%

1.9Average Margin11.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–57.6), offensive efficiency (119.0–112.4), defensive efficiency (101.8–109.7), net efficiency (17.2–2.7).

Wake Forest COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.2–5.2), ball security (15.5–16.0), free throw rate (36.1–33.2).

Final

Wake Forest

47—49

Virginia

Virginia by 2 • 58.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Wake ForestTEAM STATVirginia

19-55FG22-54

34.5%FG%40.7%

5-213PT4-13

23.8%3PT%30.8%

4-5FT1-11

80.0%FT%9.1%

38Rebounds36

10Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists11

12Turnovers8

3Steals5

2Blocks13

13Fouls11

Player Box Score

Wake Forest

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hunter Sallis	Guard	37	5-10	2-4	0-0	3	1	1	0	12
Efton Reid III	Forward	36	5-11	0-2	0-0	12	2	0	1	10
Boopie Miller	G	27	3-8	1-2	2-2	1	2	0	0	9
Parker Friedrichsen	G	25	2-5	1-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Cameron Hildreth	Guard	31	2-10	0-2	0-1	5	4	1	0	4
Andrew Carr	Forward	23	1-7	0-3	2-2	8	0	0	0	4
Damari Monsanto	Guard	17	1-4	1-4	0-0	6	1	1	1	3
Matthew Marsh	Center	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Reece Beekman	Guard	33	9-16	2-3	0-1	6	4	1	0	20
Isaac McKneely	G	36	5-12	1-4	1-2	2	0	1	2	12
Ryan Dunn	Forward	32	3-8	0-2	0-3	9	1	1	7	6
Blake Buchanan	F	21	3-7	0-0	0-3	7	0	0	2	6
Andrew Rohde	G	27	1-6	1-3	0-0	2	4	0	1	3
Dante Harris	G	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Jordan Minor	Forward	19	0-1	0-0	0-2	4	0	1	1	0
Jacob Groves	Forward	15	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Taine Murray	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.3Possessions58.3

80.6Offensive Efficiency84.0

84.0Defensive Efficiency80.6

-3.4Net Efficiency3.4

39.1%Effective FG%44.4%

41.0%True Shooting %41.4%

20.2%Turnover Rate14.0%

9.1%Free Throw Rate20.4%

38.2%3-Point Rate24.1%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

Virginia won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 58.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.