Iowa State

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.3%Iowa State

62.7%Houston

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHouston -3.8

PROJECTED TOTAL143.9

MODEL MONEYLINEHouston -168

Houston

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIowa State 70

Projected Total143.9

Projected ScoreHouston 74

Team Comparison

Iowa StateMetricHouston

75.9MMH Power Index76

119.3Offensive Efficiency118.4

96.0Defensive Efficiency95.9

23.3Net Efficiency22.5

4.9Strength of Schedule5.9

17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency18.9

68.4Tempo65.2

56.1%Effective FG%52.3%

15.0%Turnover Rate12.9%

35.5%Offensive Rebound %35.3%

35.2%Free Throw Rate26.9%

15.9Average Margin14.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (119.3–118.4), net efficiency (23.3–22.5), shooting efficiency (56.1–52.3), offensive rebounding (35.5–35.3).

Houston COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (76.0–75.9), defensive efficiency (95.9–96.0), strength of schedule (5.9–4.9).

Final

Iowa State

65—73

Houston

Houston by 8 • 65.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Iowa StateTEAM STATHouston

23-55FG21-50

41.8%FG%42.0%

9-173PT7-24

52.9%3PT%29.2%

10-15FT24-32

66.7%FT%75.0%

39Rebounds30

13Offensive Rebounds8

16Assists11

16Turnovers9

5Steals13

2Blocks3

21Fouls18

Player Box Score

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keshon Gilbert	Guard	32	6-10	3-4	2-5	4	5	0	0	17
Curtis Jones	Guard	29	4-10	3-5	2-2	3	2	0	0	13
Tre King	Forward	26	5-8	3-3	0-0	8	0	2	0	13
Milan Momcilovic	F	31	3-9	0-3	3-3	5	2	0	0	9
Tamin Lipsey	G	34	1-8	0-1	2-3	3	4	1	0	4
Hason Ward	Forward	13	1-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	2
Demarion Watson	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jackson Paveletzke	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Houston

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamal Shead	Not Available	38	6-10	2-3	12-13	4	6	3	0	26
Emanuel Sharp	G	30	5-13	2-7	8-9	1	0	4	0	20
L.J. Cryer	Guard	32	2-10	2-9	2-2	1	1	1	0	8
Mylik Wilson	Guard	19	3-4	1-2	0-2	6	1	1	2	7
J'Wan Roberts	Forward	27	3-5	0-0	0-0	6	2	1	0	6
Ja'Vier Francis	Forward	27	2-3	0-0	0-4	7	1	1	1	4
Ramon Walker Jr.	G	9	0-1	0-1	2-2	1	0	1	0	2
Joseph Tugler	F	11	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Damian Dunn	Not Available	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.7Possessions65.7

98.9Offensive Efficiency111.1

111.1Defensive Efficiency98.9

-12.2Net Efficiency12.2

50.0%Effective FG%49.0%

52.3%True Shooting %56.0%

24.6%Turnover Rate13.6%

27.3%Free Throw Rate64.0%

30.9%3-Point Rate48.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.22

Game Summary

Houston won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 65.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.