UConn

34-5

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.4%UConn

34.6%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -3.7

PROJECTED TOTAL143.1

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -189

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUConn 73

Projected Total143.1

Projected ScoreDayton 70

Team Comparison

UConnMetricDayton

70.2MMH Power Index59.9

116.3Offensive Efficiency108.5

98.4Defensive Efficiency101.5

17.9Net Efficiency7.0

6.3Strength of Schedule5.7

9.4Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

66.2Tempo68.3

55.0%Effective FG%52.0%

16.4%Turnover Rate16.9%

35.4%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

30.7%Free Throw Rate47.6%

11.8Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UConn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUConn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.2–59.9), offensive efficiency (116.3–108.5), defensive efficiency (98.4–101.5), net efficiency (17.9–7.0).

Dayton COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (47.6–30.7).

Final

UConn

67—85

Dayton

Dayton by 18 • 64.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UConnTEAM STATDayton

26-62FG25-50

42.0%FG%50.0%

8-293PT8-17

28.0%3PT%47.0%

7-11FT27-30

64.0%FT%90.0%

25Rebounds41

8Offensive Rebounds9

18Assists14

5Turnovers10

6Steals5

4Blocks1

21Fouls13

Player Box Score

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alex Karaban	F	36	7-15	4-8	3-4	3	1	0	0	21
Samson Johnson	Center	25	6-7	0-0	0-1	4	2	1	1	12
Solo Ball	G	35	4-12	2-8	0-0	2	3	1	0	10
Hassan Diarra	Guard	25	4-6	1-3	1-2	3	5	3	0	10
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	14	2-3	0-0	3-4	5	0	0	2	7
Jayden Ross	F	12	2-4	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	1	5
Ahmad Nowell	G	6	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Liam McNeeley	Forward	30	0-9	0-4	0-0	4	5	1	0	0
Aidan Mahaney	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Jaylin Stewart	F	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Youssouf Singare	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Abraham	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	37	8-12	3-5	1-2	7	2	1	0	20
Nate Santos	Forward	37	5-9	2-5	6-7	3	0	0	0	18
Posh Alexander	Guard	23	5-7	1-2	5-5	5	6	1	0	16
Zed Key	Forward	27	3-6	0-0	9-10	9	0	0	1	15
Malachi Smith	G	23	2-7	1-2	4-4	3	2	1	0	9
Javon Bennett	G	32	1-5	1-2	2-2	3	2	2	0	5
Amaël L'Etang	F	6	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Isaac Jack	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Hamad Mousa	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jaiun Simon	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.8Possessions64.8

103.4Offensive Efficiency131.2

131.2Defensive Efficiency103.4

-27.8Net Efficiency27.8

48.4%Effective FG%58.0%

49.8%True Shooting %66.1%

7.8%Turnover Rate15.3%

17.7%Free Throw Rate60.0%

46.8%3-Point Rate34.0%

3.60Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

Dayton won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 64.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.