San Francisco

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.7%San Francisco

94.3%Saint Mary's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Mary's -18.8

PROJECTED TOTAL145.6

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Mary's -1654

Saint Mary's

27-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Francisco 63

Projected Total145.6

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 82

Team Comparison

San FranciscoMetricSaint Mary's

50.1MMH Power Index70.7

110.4Offensive Efficiency116.7

108.2Defensive Efficiency97.4

2.2Net Efficiency19.3

1.4Strength of Schedule3.0

-8.7Last 10 Net Efficiency18.6

67.6Tempo66.3

51.9%Effective FG%53.1%

16.1%Turnover Rate16.6%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

40.5%Free Throw Rate36.8%

1.5Average Margin12.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.7–50.1), offensive efficiency (116.7–110.4), defensive efficiency (97.4–108.2), net efficiency (19.3–2.2).

San Francisco COUNTERS WITHball security (16.1–16.6), free throw rate (40.5–36.8).

Final

San Francisco

66—70

Saint Mary's

Saint Mary's by 4 • 59.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San FranciscoTEAM STATSaint Mary's

26-54FG22-48

48.1%FG%45.8%

9-223PT4-11

40.9%3PT%36.4%

5-8FT22-32

62.5%FT%68.8%

23Rebounds36

5Offensive Rebounds12

11Assists9

6Turnovers8

3Steals4

2Blocks4

23Fouls15

Player Box Score

San Francisco

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Williams	Guard	35	11-20	4-9	0-1	3	2	0	0	26
Malik Thomas	G	31	3-8	1-2	2-2	6	0	1	0	9
Ryan Beasley	G	24	3-6	1-3	2-2	0	0	0	0	9
Mike Sharavjamts	G	19	3-5	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	7
Jonathan Mogbo	Forward	25	3-7	0-0	0-1	6	5	2	0	6
Junjie Wang	F	15	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Ndewedo Newbury	F	29	1-2	1-1	0-0	4	2	0	0	3
Robby Beasley	Guard	11	0-3	0-3	1-2	1	1	0	0	1
Volodymyr Markovetskyy	Center	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2	0

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mitchell Saxen	Center	35	6-11	0-0	8-10	13	2	0	1	20
Alex Ducas	Guard	37	5-11	3-7	5-6	6	1	0	1	18
Aidan Mahaney	G	33	5-11	1-3	1-3	4	2	0	0	12
Augustas Marciulionis	Guard	40	2-8	0-0	2-4	3	4	0	0	6
Mason Forbes	Forward	27	3-5	0-0	0-2	2	0	1	1	6
Luke Barrett	Forward	13	0-1	0-1	4-5	0	0	2	0	4
Harry Wessels	C	5	1-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	1	4
Chris Howell	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.0Possessions59.0

111.9Offensive Efficiency118.6

118.6Defensive Efficiency111.9

-6.8Net Efficiency6.8

56.5%Effective FG%50.0%

57.1%True Shooting %55.4%

10.2%Turnover Rate13.5%

14.8%Free Throw Rate66.7%

40.7%3-Point Rate22.9%

1.83Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Saint Mary's won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 59.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.