San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.4%San Diego State

75.6%Utah State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -7.9

PROJECTED TOTAL152.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -310

Utah State

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 72

Projected Total152.9

Projected ScoreUtah State 80

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricUtah State

60.1MMH Power Index65.7

110.3Offensive Efficiency119.7

99.3Defensive Efficiency103.1

11.0Net Efficiency16.6

3.8Strength of Schedule3.5

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

70.8Tempo68.6

53.2%Effective FG%56.9%

17.2%Turnover Rate15.1%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

39.6%Free Throw Rate39.1%

7.8Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–60.1), offensive efficiency (119.7–110.3), net efficiency (16.6–11.0), shooting efficiency (56.9–53.2).

San Diego State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.3–103.1), strength of schedule (3.8–3.5), recent form (0.4–0.3).

Final

San Diego State

63—68

Utah State

Utah State by 5 • 64.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATUtah State

24-56FG25-51

42.9%FG%49.0%

3-193PT7-22

15.8%3PT%31.8%

12-15FT11-15

80.0%FT%73.3%

34Rebounds31

8Offensive Rebounds4

11Assists16

9Turnovers10

6Steals3

1Blocks3

19Fouls14

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaedon LeDee	Forward	33	8-13	0-0	7-9	6	0	0	0	23
Reese Waters	Guard	25	4-8	1-4	2-2	3	3	0	0	11
Miles Byrd	G	20	4-7	1-3	1-2	3	2	2	0	10
Darrion Trammell	Guard	26	3-5	0-1	0-0	0	3	2	0	6
Elijah Saunders	F	19	2-6	1-4	0-0	5	0	0	0	5
Jay Pal	Forward	18	1-3	0-2	2-2	6	1	0	0	4
Micah Parrish	Guard	25	1-7	0-2	0-0	3	2	0	1	2
Miles Heide	F	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Lamont Butler	Guard	24	0-5	0-3	0-0	2	0	2	0	0

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darius Brown II	Guard	39	8-13	5-9	4-4	4	2	0	0	25
Great Osobor	Forward	39	7-10	0-1	3-5	7	7	2	2	17
Mason Falslev	G	30	3-9	1-5	3-4	3	2	0	0	10
Isaac Johnson	C	25	3-4	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	6
Ian Martinez	Guard	35	2-11	0-4	0-0	6	3	1	0	4
Josh Uduje	Guard	16	1-3	1-2	1-2	3	1	0	0	4
Kalifa Sakho	F	16	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

64.1Possessions64.1

98.3Offensive Efficiency106.1

106.1Defensive Efficiency98.3

-7.8Net Efficiency7.8

45.5%Effective FG%55.9%

49.9%True Shooting %58.5%

14.0%Turnover Rate15.6%

26.8%Free Throw Rate29.4%

33.9%3-Point Rate43.1%

1.22Assist / Turnover1.60

Game Summary

Utah State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 64.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.