Illinois

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

96.4%Illinois

3.6%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -20.6

PROJECTED TOTAL155.1

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -2678

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois 88

Projected Total155.1

Projected ScorePenn State 67

Team Comparison

IllinoisMetricPenn State

76.5MMH Power Index42.3

125.0Offensive Efficiency109.2

103.3Defensive Efficiency117.6

21.7Net Efficiency-8.4

6.7Strength of Schedule5.3

12.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

66.5Tempo67.5

54.8%Effective FG%53.4%

13.1%Turnover Rate15.6%

39.3%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

33.8%Free Throw Rate34.6%

14.5Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–42.3), offensive efficiency (125.0–109.2), defensive efficiency (103.3–117.6), net efficiency (21.7–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (34.6–33.8).

Final

Illinois

89—90

Penn State

Penn State by 1 • 75.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IllinoisTEAM STATPenn State

31-64FG35-65

48.4%FG%53.8%

9-243PT8-18

37.5%3PT%44.4%

18-27FT12-20

66.7%FT%60.0%

49Rebounds25

19Offensive Rebounds5

15Assists15

18Turnovers6

4Steals11

2Blocks6

17Fouls19

Player Box Score

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrence Shannon Jr.	Not Available	38	10-18	2-7	13-19	11	0	1	1	35
Marcus Domask	Forward	38	6-13	0-2	3-3	3	6	0	0	15
Coleman Hawkins	Guard	33	3-11	3-7	0-2	5	1	1	1	9
Luke Goode	Forward	22	3-5	3-5	0-0	5	0	0	0	9
Ty Rodgers	G	16	3-3	0-0	0-0	7	3	1	0	6
Quincy Guerrier	Forward	15	2-3	1-1	0-1	4	1	0	0	5
Amani Hansberry	F	6	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Justin Harmon	Guard	24	1-4	0-0	0-0	4	4	1	0	2
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	6	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Dain Dainja	Forward	2	0-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	33	10-17	0-0	2-6	4	2	2	1	22
Zach Hicks	Forward	35	4-7	2-4	3-3	8	0	2	2	13
Qudus Wahab	Forward	26	6-10	0-0	1-2	4	0	1	2	13
Jameel Brown	G	18	4-8	3-7	0-0	2	0	3	0	11
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	40	3-12	1-4	3-4	2	12	2	1	10
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	20	3-5	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	7
Puff Johnson	G	11	2-3	0-1	3-3	0	0	1	0	7
RayQuawndis Mitchell	Guard	5	2-2	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	4
Leo O'Boyle	Forward	9	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Favour Aire	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.7Possessions75.7

117.6Offensive Efficiency118.9

118.9Defensive Efficiency117.6

-1.3Net Efficiency1.3

55.5%Effective FG%60.0%

57.9%True Shooting %60.4%

23.7%Turnover Rate7.9%

42.2%Free Throw Rate30.8%

37.5%3-Point Rate27.7%

0.83Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Penn State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 75.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.