Kentucky

22-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

63.9%Kentucky

36.1%LSU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADKentucky -2.5

PROJECTED TOTAL161.2

MODEL MONEYLINEKentucky -177

LSU

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreKentucky 82

Projected Total161.2

Projected ScoreLSU 79

Team Comparison

KentuckyMetricLSU

63.9MMH Power Index54.2

115.2Offensive Efficiency115.5

106.3Defensive Efficiency111.3

8.9Net Efficiency4.2

8.7Strength of Schedule4.5

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-12.8

69.9Tempo70.5

53.2%Effective FG%53.4%

15.4%Turnover Rate15.6%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

38.0%Free Throw Rate41.9%

6.2Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMKentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.9–54.2), defensive efficiency (106.3–111.3), net efficiency (8.9–4.2), strength of schedule (8.7–4.5).

LSU COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.5–115.2), shooting efficiency (53.4–53.2), free throw rate (41.9–38.0).

Final

Kentucky

74—75

LSU

LSU by 1 • 70.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

KentuckyTEAM STATLSU

27-62FG25-56

43.5%FG%44.6%

8-203PT9-20

40.0%3PT%45.0%

12-12FT16-25

100.0%FT%64.0%

30Rebounds38

9Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists12

13Turnovers14

10Steals6

5Blocks3

19Fouls13

Player Box Score

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Antonio Reeves	Guard	33	8-15	3-5	6-6	4	1	2	0	25
Rob Dillingham	Guard	22	8-16	2-5	5-5	1	0	1	0	23
Justin Edwards	Forward	19	3-4	3-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	9
Adou Thiero	Forward	30	4-9	0-2	0-0	9	2	2	4	8
Reed Sheppard	Guard	26	3-7	0-1	1-1	2	2	5	0	7
Ugonna Onyenso	C	32	1-3	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	1	2
DJ Wagner	G	21	0-5	0-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	0
Aaron Bradshaw	F	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Jordan Burks	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Zvonimir Ivisic	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

LSU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyrell Ward	G	35	5-10	3-4	4-4	2	1	0	0	17
Jordan Wright	Guard	38	4-15	3-8	2-4	4	4	2	0	13
Jalen Reed	F	21	4-8	0-1	5-8	6	0	0	0	13
Derek Fountain	Forward	19	4-5	1-2	0-0	6	0	1	0	9
Will Baker	Forward	26	3-9	1-3	1-3	7	0	1	2	8
Trae Hannibal	Guard	30	3-4	0-0	1-2	8	7	1	0	7
Mike Williams III	G	15	1-3	1-1	3-4	1	0	1	1	6
Hunter Dean	Forward	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Mwani Wilkinson	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.8Possessions70.8

104.5Offensive Efficiency105.9

105.9Defensive Efficiency104.5

-1.4Net Efficiency1.4

50.0%Effective FG%52.7%

54.7%True Shooting %55.2%

18.1%Turnover Rate20.0%

19.4%Free Throw Rate44.6%

32.3%3-Point Rate35.7%

0.69Assist / Turnover0.86

Game Summary

LSU won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 70.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.