Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.3%Colorado State

80.7%New Mexico

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico -11.0

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico -418

New Mexico

26-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 70

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreNew Mexico 81

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricNew Mexico

55.4MMH Power Index63.7

117.1Offensive Efficiency114.8

109.9Defensive Efficiency100.2

7.2Net Efficiency14.6

0.4Strength of Schedule2.0

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency8.3

64.7Tempo70.7

58.6%Effective FG%53.7%

18.3%Turnover Rate14.8%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

41.2%Free Throw Rate36.5%

4.6Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.7–55.4), defensive efficiency (100.2–109.9), net efficiency (14.6–7.2), strength of schedule (2.0–0.4).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (117.1–114.8), shooting efficiency (58.6–53.7), free throw rate (41.2–36.5).

Final

Colorado State

66—68

New Mexico

New Mexico by 2 • 71.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATNew Mexico

24-58FG24-64

41.4%FG%37.5%

6-203PT5-15

30.0%3PT%33.3%

12-15FT15-23

80.0%FT%65.2%

40Rebounds39

5Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists10

12Turnovers4

2Steals7

3Blocks4

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Stevens	Guard	37	8-12	2-3	2-2	5	9	1	1	20
Joel Scott	Forward	31	5-12	0-1	8-9	13	0	0	1	18
Patrick Cartier	Forward	28	5-12	1-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	11
Jalen Lake	Guard	19	3-8	3-5	0-0	2	2	0	0	9
Rashaan Mbemba	F	12	2-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	5
Nique Clifford	Guard	35	1-9	0-4	0-0	11	0	0	1	2
Joe Palmer	Guard	9	0-1	0-1	1-2	1	0	1	0	1
Josiah Strong	Guard	26	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Kyan Evans	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

New Mexico

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Dent	G	36	4-10	1-2	7-9	3	3	1	1	16
Jamal Mashburn Jr.	Guard	30	6-13	1-2	3-4	6	1	3	0	16
Jaelen House	Guard	36	6-18	2-4	0-0	2	3	2	1	14
Nelly Junior Joseph	Center	36	5-8	0-0	3-6	12	2	1	0	13
JT Toppin	F	25	2-5	0-0	1-2	8	0	0	2	5
Mustapha Amzil	Forward	19	1-5	1-3	1-2	1	1	0	0	4
Jemarl Baker Jr.	Guard	15	0-3	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Tru Washington	G	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.0Possessions71.0

93.0Offensive Efficiency95.8

95.8Defensive Efficiency93.0

-2.8Net Efficiency2.8

46.6%Effective FG%41.4%

50.7%True Shooting %45.4%

16.6%Turnover Rate5.7%

25.9%Free Throw Rate35.9%

34.5%3-Point Rate23.4%

0.92Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

New Mexico won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 71.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.