Niagara

8-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.6%Niagara

57.4%Canisius

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCanisius -3.1

PROJECTED TOTAL132.5

MODEL MONEYLINECanisius -135

Canisius

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNiagara 65

Projected Total132.5

Projected ScoreCanisius 68

Team Comparison

NiagaraMetricCanisius

35.8MMH Power Index33.9

100.8Offensive Efficiency97.1

112.4Defensive Efficiency108.8

-11.6Net Efficiency-11.7

-0.8Strength of Schedule-1.8

-5.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.0

63.4Tempo64.8

50.9%Effective FG%46.8%

18.8%Turnover Rate19.6%

24.9%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

27.3%Free Throw Rate32.4%

-7.4Average Margin-7.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Niagara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNiagara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (35.8–33.9), offensive efficiency (100.8–97.1), net efficiency (-11.6–-11.7), strength of schedule (-0.8–-1.8).

Canisius COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (108.8–112.4), offensive rebounding (29.1–24.9), free throw rate (32.4–27.3).

Final

Niagara

59—69

Canisius

Canisius by 10 • 64.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NiagaraTEAM STATCanisius

18-50FG27-58

36.0%FG%46.6%

2-103PT7-16

20.0%3PT%43.8%

21-27FT8-15

77.8%FT%53.3%

31Rebounds39

10Offensive Rebounds13

6Assists12

12Turnovers12

6Steals6

1Blocks4

14Fouls21

Player Box Score

Niagara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braxton Bayless	G	30	4-10	0-0	9-12	4	1	2	0	17
Harlan Obioha	C	38	6-10	0-0	4-5	10	0	0	1	16
Kwane Marble	Guard	35	4-6	0-0	5-5	7	0	4	0	13
Dre Bullock	G	32	2-9	1-3	1-1	6	0	0	0	6
Luke Bumbalough	Guard	39	1-7	1-4	2-4	0	3	0	0	5
Ahmad Henderson II	G	12	1-6	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	2
Randy Tucker	Guard	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Aime Rutayisire	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Lance Erving	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Canisius

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tre Dinkins	G	29	7-11	2-4	0-0	2	1	1	0	16
Devean Williams	G	37	6-14	3-6	0-0	5	3	1	0	15
Cameron Palesse	G	40	4-11	1-3	3-3	6	2	1	1	12
TJ Gadsden	Guard	34	4-9	1-3	3-6	7	4	1	2	12
Frank Mitchell	F	29	3-8	0-0	0-1	11	1	1	0	6
Youri Fritz	F	13	2-2	0-0	2-5	1	1	0	1	6
Bryce Okpoh	Forward	16	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	0	2
Davon Ware	Guard	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.4Possessions64.4

91.6Offensive Efficiency107.1

107.1Defensive Efficiency91.6

-15.5Net Efficiency15.5

38.0%Effective FG%52.6%

47.0%True Shooting %53.0%

18.5%Turnover Rate18.7%

54.0%Free Throw Rate25.9%

20.0%3-Point Rate27.6%

0.50Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Canisius won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 64.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.