Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

48.7%Toledo

51.3%Bowling Green

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBowling Green -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINEBowling Green -105

Bowling Green

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 78

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreBowling Green 81

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricBowling Green

58.8MMH Power Index54.7

116.0Offensive Efficiency112.6

109.6Defensive Efficiency99.1

6.4Net Efficiency13.5

2.3Strength of Schedule-4.7

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

69.8Tempo72.2

55.1%Effective FG%53.4%

14.6%Turnover Rate15.9%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

30.3%Free Throw Rate38.7%

4.5Average Margin9.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–54.7), offensive efficiency (116.0–112.6), strength of schedule (2.3–-4.7), recent form (10.2–1.4).

Bowling Green COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.1–109.6), net efficiency (13.5–6.4), free throw rate (38.7–30.3).

Final

Toledo

68—76

Bowling Green

Bowling Green by 8 • 67.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATBowling Green

23-56FG27-56

41.1%FG%48.2%

9-203PT4-13

45.0%3PT%30.8%

13-16FT18-21

81.3%FT%85.7%

28Rebounds38

9Offensive Rebounds12

10Assists8

13Turnovers13

7Steals8

3Blocks6

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ra'Heim Moss	Guard	36	7-15	3-6	2-4	3	4	4	1	19
Tyler Cochran	G	32	7-13	2-5	1-2	7	0	1	0	17
Dante Maddox Jr.	Guard	36	4-12	3-6	4-4	3	4	1	1	15
Javan Simmons	F	35	2-8	0-1	4-4	6	1	1	0	8
Bryce Ford	G	9	1-1	1-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	5
Sonny Wilson	G	26	1-6	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Sam Lewis	G	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Ben Wight	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Bowling Green

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Hill	G	39	11-24	0-2	9-11	6	2	2	1	31
Rashaun Agee	F	35	5-10	0-0	2-2	13	2	2	2	12
Da'Shawn Phillip	Guard	31	4-6	1-3	2-2	6	2	2	1	11
Trey Thomas	Guard	32	3-8	1-4	3-4	2	1	2	0	10
DaJion Humphrey	G	19	2-4	2-4	0-0	2	0	0	1	6
Sam Towns	F	25	1-3	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	0	4
Jason Spurgin	Center	19	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

67.3Possessions67.3

101.0Offensive Efficiency112.9

112.9Defensive Efficiency101.0

-11.9Net Efficiency11.9

49.1%Effective FG%51.8%

53.5%True Shooting %57.6%

19.2%Turnover Rate19.4%

28.6%Free Throw Rate37.5%

35.7%3-Point Rate23.2%

0.77Assist / Turnover0.62

Game Summary

Bowling Green won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 67.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.