Villanova

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.3%Villanova

84.7%UConn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -11.8

PROJECTED TOTAL146.1

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -554

UConn

34-5

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVillanova 67

Projected Total146.1

Projected ScoreUConn 79

Team Comparison

VillanovaMetricUConn

59.4MMH Power Index70.2

114.7Offensive Efficiency116.3

105.9Defensive Efficiency98.4

8.8Net Efficiency17.9

4.4Strength of Schedule6.3

-1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency9.4

67.3Tempo66.2

53.9%Effective FG%55.0%

15.0%Turnover Rate16.4%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %35.4%

31.4%Free Throw Rate30.7%

5.9Average Margin11.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UConn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUConn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.2–59.4), offensive efficiency (116.3–114.7), defensive efficiency (98.4–105.9), net efficiency (17.9–8.8).

Villanova COUNTERS WITHball security (15.0–16.4), free throw rate (31.4–30.7).

Final

Villanova

54—78

UConn

UConn by 24 • 64.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VillanovaTEAM STATUConn

21-63FG24-56

33.3%FG%42.9%

3-243PT10-32

12.5%3PT%31.3%

9-13FT20-22

69.2%FT%90.9%

32Rebounds46

8Offensive Rebounds8

6Assists14

3Turnovers7

5Steals2

3Blocks7

13Fouls13

Player Box Score

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eric Dixon	Forward	32	7-19	2-8	4-4	8	0	2	0	20
TJ Bamba	Guard	34	5-16	0-5	3-5	5	0	0	2	13
Mark Armstrong	Guard	23	3-9	0-3	2-2	3	1	2	0	8
Justin Moore	Guard	31	3-6	1-3	0-1	4	1	0	0	7
Jordan Longino	Guard	15	2-4	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	0	4
Hakim Hart	Guard	25	1-5	0-2	0-1	2	2	1	1	2
Brendan Hausen	G	18	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tyler Burton	Forward	14	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Lance Ware	Forward	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cam Spencer	Guard	36	9-13	5-8	2-2	4	1	0	0	25
Stephon Castle	Guard	31	3-9	2-6	6-6	6	1	0	2	14
Donovan Clingan	Center	26	4-6	0-0	5-6	6	0	0	1	13
Tristen Newton	Guard	37	3-10	2-6	2-2	16	10	0	0	10
Hassan Diarra	Guard	16	3-6	0-3	2-2	1	2	1	0	8
Alex Karaban	F	34	1-8	1-7	0-0	2	0	1	3	3
Samson Johnson	Center	14	1-1	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	1	3
Jaylin Stewart	F	6	0-3	0-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

64.9Possessions64.9

83.2Offensive Efficiency120.2

120.2Defensive Efficiency83.2

-37.0Net Efficiency37.0

35.7%Effective FG%51.8%

39.0%True Shooting %58.7%

4.7%Turnover Rate10.7%

20.6%Free Throw Rate39.3%

38.1%3-Point Rate57.1%

2.00Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

UConn won by 24 points. The game played at approximately 64.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.